Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:09:08

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 20.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 18.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-5.5%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,866
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,773.65
Current Value
$11,636.24
Period P&L
$-1,137.38
Max Drawdown
-15.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.47

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
5 / 12
Best Trade
+1.23%
Worst Trade
-2.71%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$406,263.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,137.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,137.38
Gross Return
-8.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,773.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $360.06 35 $12,602.10
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $350.32 35 $12,261.03 $12,432.55 $-341.07
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:00am ET $344.91 36 $12,416.76
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $344.75 36 $12,411.00 $12,426.79 $-5.76
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $315.23 39 $12,293.97
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $317.30 39 $12,374.70 $12,507.52 +$80.73
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $347.81 35 $12,173.35
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $346.32 35 $12,121.03 $12,455.20 $-52.32
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET $332.86 37 $12,316.00
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $328.70 37 $12,161.90 $12,301.10 $-154.10
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:25am ET $326.12 37 $12,066.44
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $319.98 37 $11,839.26 $12,073.92 $-227.18
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 36 $11,761.56
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $328.82 36 $11,837.52 $12,149.88 +$75.96
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $368.85 32 $11,803.20
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $371.45 32 $11,886.40 $12,233.08 +$83.20
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $392.11 31 $12,155.41
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $390.13 31 $12,094.03 $12,171.70 $-61.38
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $416.00 29 $12,064.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $421.11 29 $12,212.19 $12,319.89 +$148.19
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3d held
11 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $432.31 28 $12,104.68
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:15pm ET $432.04 28 $12,097.12 $12,312.33 $-7.56
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
12 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $427.39 28 $11,967.06
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $422.06 28 $11,817.68 $12,162.95 $-149.38
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
13 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $441.23 27 $11,913.21
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $439.10 27 $11,855.70 $12,105.44 $-57.51
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 24 $11,720.16
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $478.69 24 $11,488.56 $11,873.84 $-231.60
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $426.00 27 $11,502.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $415.68 27 $11,223.36 $11,595.20 $-278.64
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.25 29 $11,462.25
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $393.11 29 $11,400.05 $11,533.00 $-62.20
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $392.35 29 $11,378.15
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $395.91 29 $11,481.39 $11,636.24 +$103.24
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,636.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,636.24
Total Return: +16.36%
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