Compendium › Trent Follower › BIIB
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BIIB
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+0.75%
Year to Date Return
$8,154.71
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,093.64
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:13:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 2.4/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 1.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,759
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
87 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,093.64
Current Value
$8,154.71
Period P&L
$61.08
Max Drawdown
-19.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+1.19%
Worst Trade
-0.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
21h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$63,544.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$61.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$61.08
Gross Return
+0.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 87 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,093.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET $180.27 44 $7,931.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $180.34 44 $7,934.96 $8,096.71 +$3.08
(+0.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $193.31 41 $7,925.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $193.08 41 $7,916.28 $8,087.28 $-9.43
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.40 44 $7,937.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $179.78 44 $7,910.32 $8,060.00 $-27.28
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $189.20 42 $7,946.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $191.46 42 $8,041.11 $8,154.71 +$94.71
(+1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,154.71
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,845.29
Total Return: -18.45%
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