Compendium › Trent Follower › BTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 6 trades in period

-4.94%
Year to Date Return
$7,671.68
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$7,906.83
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:54:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.5/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 1.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,167
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,906.83
Current Value
$7,671.68
Period P&L
$-390.55
Max Drawdown
-23.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+0.96%
Worst Trade
-2.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
3.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$93,243.13
Estimated Fees
$233.11
Gross P&L
$-390.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-623.66
Gross Return
-4.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.89%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,906.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 8:45pm ET $65,340.80 0 $7,906.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:50pm ET $63,864.96 0 $7,728.24 $7,689.16 $-217.68
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:15am ET $69,600.29 0 $7,689.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $70,218.82 0 $7,757.49 $7,718.87 +$29.72
(+0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $68,317.40 0 $7,718.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $68,973.30 0 $7,792.98 $7,792.98 +$35.33
(+1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET $70,738.80 0 $7,792.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 7:10am ET $70,943.60 0 $7,815.54 $7,815.54 $-16.46
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $71,222.00 0 $7,815.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET $70,870.00 0 $7,776.91 $7,776.91 $-77.61
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 7:30pm ET $72,453.10 0 $7,776.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:05pm ET $71,472.70 0 $7,671.68 $7,671.68 $-143.85
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,671.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,328.32
Total Return: -23.28%
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