Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:54:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 5.4

30-Day Momentum

1
-3.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,154
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,006.56
Current Value
$7,781.39
Period P&L
$142.71
Max Drawdown
-42.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
8 / 21
Best Trade
+15.38%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.65%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$423,174.40
Estimated Fees
$1,057.94
Gross P&L
$142.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-915.23
Gross Return
+2.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.06%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,006.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 1, 2026 11:00am ET $1.90 3,694 $7,006.58
🔴 SELL Jan 1, 2026 6:50pm ET $2.00 3,694 $7,370.80 $7,334.86 +$328.27
(+5.2%)
TREND_BREAK
7.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $2.11 3,472 $7,334.86
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:00pm ET $2.16 3,472 $7,504.98 $7,467.88 +$133.02
(+2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:45am ET $2.20 3,399 $7,467.88
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $2.19 3,399 $7,428.44 $7,391.20 $-76.67
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET $2.14 3,456 $7,391.20
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $2.08 3,456 $7,203.17 $7,166.69 $-224.52
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:10am ET $2.17 3,304 $7,166.69
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $2.24 3,304 $7,397.98 $7,361.57 +$194.88
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 5:15pm ET $2.32 3,179 $7,361.57
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 7:30pm ET $2.27 3,179 $7,219.47 $7,183.01 $-178.55
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $1.98 3,630 $7,183.01
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.97 3,630 $7,148.17 $7,112.34 $-70.67
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET $1.55 4,583 $7,112.34
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 12:00am ET $1.55 4,583 $7,103.18 $7,067.64 $-44.70
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $1.54 4,580 $7,067.64
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET $1.50 4,580 $6,877.09 $6,842.23 $-225.41
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $1.30 5,284 $6,842.23
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:15am ET $1.27 5,284 $6,704.86 $6,670.99 $-171.24
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 5:50am ET $1.32 5,042 $6,670.99
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:15am ET $1.32 5,042 $6,665.95 $6,632.60 $-38.38
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $1.39 4,775 $6,632.60
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $1.36 4,775 $6,470.25 $6,437.49 $-195.11
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:05am ET $1.28 5,041 $6,437.49
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $1.24 5,041 $6,242.92 $6,242.92 $-226.27
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:20am ET $1.34 4,667 $6,242.92
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $1.32 4,667 $6,153.32 $6,153.32 $-120.59
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET $1.30 4,749 $6,153.32
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:05pm ET $1.27 4,749 $6,014.18 $6,014.18 $-169.55
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 5:15am ET $1.33 4,513 $6,014.18
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET $1.54 4,513 $6,938.99 $6,938.99 +$892.42
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET $1.52 4,554 $6,938.99
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 5:50pm ET $1.64 4,554 $7,485.47 $7,485.47 +$510.42
(+7.9%)
TREND_BREAK
7h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 6:35pm ET $1.63 4,604 $7,485.47
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:35pm ET $1.63 4,604 $7,506.19 $7,506.19 $-16.76
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $1.62 4,640 $7,506.19
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 5:15pm ET $1.61 4,640 $7,470.92 $7,470.92 $-72.71
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET $1.54 4,856 $7,470.92
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 7:40pm ET $1.64 4,856 $7,953.57 $7,953.57 +$444.09
(+6.5%)
TREND_BREAK
10.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 1, 2026 8:10pm ET $1.59 5,000 $7,953.57
🔴 SELL Mar 1, 2026 9:50pm ET $1.55 5,000 $7,771.08 $7,771.08 $-221.80
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $1.56 4,967 $7,771.08
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $1.55 4,967 $7,695.57 $7,695.57 $-114.17
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:20am ET $1.55 4,972 $7,695.57
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $1.53 4,972 $7,610.06 $7,610.06 $-123.78
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 15, 2026 11:35pm ET $1.49 5,118 $7,610.06
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 6:20am ET $1.59 5,118 $8,129.51 $8,129.51 +$480.10
(+6.8%)
TREND_BREAK
6.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $1.48 5,493 $8,129.51
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:45am ET $1.46 5,493 $8,038.33 $8,038.33 $-131.60
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 5:45pm ET $1.27 6,306 $8,038.33
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET $1.31 6,306 $8,241.39 $8,241.39 +$162.36
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 7:30pm ET $1.24 6,639 $8,241.39
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30pm ET $1.21 6,639 $8,052.85 $8,052.85 $-229.28
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:55am ET $1.26 6,394 $8,052.85
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 6:10am ET $1.25 6,394 $8,007.45 $8,007.45 $-85.55
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $1.33 6,028 $8,007.45
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $1.29 6,028 $7,781.39 $7,781.39 $-265.54
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,781.39
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,218.61
Total Return: -22.19%
Back to Trent Follower