Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 7.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 7.1

30-Day Momentum

2
-1.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,248
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,016.00
Current Value
$8,503.66
Period P&L
$487.65
Max Drawdown
-41.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+4.21%
Worst Trade
-4.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
6.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$249,608.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$487.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$487.65
Gross Return
+6.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,016.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET $119.63 67 $8,015.21
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $121.91 67 $8,167.72 $8,168.52 +$152.51
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
23.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $80.20 101 $8,100.20
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $82.65 101 $8,347.58 $8,415.90 +$247.38
(+3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $78.10 107 $8,356.70
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 11:50am ET $76.33 107 $8,167.32 $8,226.52 $-189.38
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $77.10 106 $8,172.07
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $76.11 106 $8,068.19 $8,122.64 $-103.88
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $77.06 105 $8,091.30
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $77.32 105 $8,118.60 $8,149.94 +$27.30
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:40am ET $78.07 104 $8,119.27
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $78.52 104 $8,166.08 $8,196.75 +$46.81
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.73 102 $8,132.46
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $81.73 102 $8,336.46 $8,400.75 +$204.00
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $77.47 108 $8,367.15
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $76.13 108 $8,222.04 $8,255.64 $-145.11
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 114 $8,213.70
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $73.25 114 $8,350.50 $8,392.44 +$136.80
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $68.31 122 $8,333.82
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $70.38 122 $8,586.36 $8,644.98 +$252.54
(+3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 112 $8,620.08
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $73.15 112 $8,192.80 $8,217.70 $-427.28
(-5.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 109 $8,201.16
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $78.41 109 $8,546.69 $8,563.23 +$345.53
(+4.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 95 $8,559.50
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $91.49 95 $8,691.55 $8,695.28 +$132.05
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $73.06 119 $8,694.14
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $72.63 119 $8,642.38 $8,643.52 $-51.76
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $77.33 111 $8,583.63
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $76.07 111 $8,443.77 $8,503.66 $-139.86
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,503.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,496.34
Total Return: -14.96%
Back to Trent Follower