Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 3.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

73
+36.9%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
4.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.6 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+70 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,395
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$5,734.61
Current Value
$6,960.93
Period P&L
$1,226.23
Max Drawdown
-59.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
12 / 17
Best Trade
+10.81%
Worst Trade
-4.63%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
14.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$334,781.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,226.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,226.23
Gross Return
+21.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,734.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $9.43 608 $5,733.44
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $9.87 608 $5,997.92 $5,999.17 +$264.48
(+4.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET $10.43 575 $5,996.56
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $10.45 575 $6,008.58 $6,011.19 +$12.02
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:25am ET $10.77 558 $6,006.87
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $10.65 558 $5,939.91 $5,944.23 $-66.96
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $11.31 525 $5,935.13
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $10.98 525 $5,761.88 $5,770.98 $-173.25
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $11.47 503 $5,769.41
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:40am ET $11.00 503 $5,532.95 $5,534.52 $-236.46
(-4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
36m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $10.99 503 $5,527.97
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET $10.65 503 $5,354.44 $5,360.98 $-173.54
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $10.62 505 $5,360.58
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $10.60 505 $5,353.00 $5,353.41 $-7.58
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $10.57 506 $5,348.42
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:10am ET $10.37 506 $5,244.69 $5,249.68 $-103.73
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
19.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $7.41 708 $5,243.52
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 708 $5,540.10 $5,546.26 +$296.58
(+5.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:20pm ET $7.86 706 $5,545.63
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET $7.93 706 $5,598.65 $5,599.28 +$53.02
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
23.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $8.08 692 $5,591.36
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $8.64 692 $5,975.42 $5,983.34 +$384.06
(+6.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $9.68 618 $5,981.00
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $9.23 618 $5,704.14 $5,706.48 $-276.86
(-4.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $9.27 615 $5,704.12
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $9.12 615 $5,608.80 $5,611.16 $-95.32
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $8.47 662 $5,603.83
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:40pm ET $8.40 662 $5,561.26 $5,568.59 $-42.57
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.23 603 $5,562.68
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:20pm ET $9.52 603 $5,743.57 $5,749.49 +$180.90
(+3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:10pm ET $9.29 618 $5,741.22
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $8.95 618 $5,531.10 $5,539.37 $-210.12
(-3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
18.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET $8.92 620 $5,531.39
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $8.83 620 $5,474.60 $5,482.58 $-56.79
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $8.57 639 $5,476.23
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $8.32 639 $5,316.54 $5,322.89 $-159.69
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:10am ET $8.94 595 $5,319.30
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $8.77 595 $5,215.18 $5,218.77 $-104.12
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $8.15 640 $5,216.64
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $7.88 640 $5,043.20 $5,045.33 $-173.44
(-3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $8.09 623 $5,040.07
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:25am ET $8.15 623 $5,080.56 $5,085.82 +$40.49
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
22.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $8.52 596 $5,080.90
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $8.90 596 $5,307.38 $5,312.30 +$226.48
(+4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $8.79 604 $5,309.16
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $9.52 604 $5,747.06 $5,750.20 +$437.90
(+8.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:30am ET $9.87 582 $5,744.34
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $10.63 582 $6,183.75 $6,189.61 +$439.41
(+7.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $10.59 584 $6,184.56
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $11.74 584 $6,853.42 $6,858.47 +$668.86
(+10.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.80 581 $6,855.80
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $11.45 581 $6,655.35 $6,658.02 $-200.45
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
18.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $11.85 561 $6,647.85
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $11.82 561 $6,631.47 $6,641.64 $-16.38
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $11.11 597 $6,635.65
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $11.87 597 $7,086.45 $7,092.43 +$450.79
(+6.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
29 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $12.09 586 $7,084.10
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $11.86 586 $6,952.60 $6,960.93 $-131.50
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,960.93
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,039.07
Total Return: -30.39%
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