Compendium › Trent Follower › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.85%
Year to Date Return
$10,018.67
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$10,312.60
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:07:51

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
0.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 2.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,701
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
121 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,312.60
Current Value
$10,018.67
Period P&L
$-293.93
Max Drawdown
-2.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.63

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+0.91%
Worst Trade
-1.83%
Avg Trade Return
-0.72%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$80,255.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-293.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-293.93
Gross Return
-2.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 121 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,312.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $118.21 87 $10,284.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $116.05 87 $10,096.35 $10,124.68 $-187.92
(-1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:20am ET $114.46 88 $10,072.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $112.47 88 $9,897.36 $9,949.56 $-175.12
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $120.86 82 $9,910.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $121.96 82 $10,001.13 $10,040.17 +$90.61
(+0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $119.14 84 $10,007.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $118.88 84 $9,985.92 $10,018.67 $-21.50
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,018.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$18.67
Total Return: +0.19%
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