PEPEUSD Trent Follower's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 29 trades in period
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 16, 2024 | $99.37 | 171 | $1,786.93 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $1,596.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $0.00000432 | 369,567,802 | $1,596.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 1, 2026 9:00pm ET | $0.00000488 | 369,567,802 | $1,803.49 | $1,794.99 |
+$198.46 (+13.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
9.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 1, 2026 10:15pm ET | $0.00000512 | 350,584,144 | $1,794.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:55am ET | $0.00000511 | 350,584,144 | $1,791.48 | $1,782.52 |
$-12.47 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 7:30am ET | $0.00000556 | 320,596,904 | $1,782.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $0.00000553 | 320,596,904 | $1,772.90 | $1,764.01 |
$-18.51 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.00000591 | 298,479,243 | $1,764.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $0.00000589 | 298,479,243 | $1,758.04 | $1,749.24 |
$-14.77 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 5:50pm ET | $0.00000613 | 285,356,869 | $1,749.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:05pm ET | $0.00000606 | 285,356,869 | $1,729.26 | $1,720.57 |
$-28.67 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 3, 2026 4:35am ET | $0.00000618 | 278,408,798 | $1,720.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 3, 2026 6:05am ET | $0.00000597 | 278,408,798 | $1,662.10 | $1,653.64 |
$-66.92 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 3, 2026 10:10pm ET | $0.00000652 | 253,626,359 | $1,653.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 4, 2026 12:00am ET | $0.00000631 | 253,626,359 | $1,600.38 | $1,592.25 |
$-61.40 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 4, 2026 3:15am ET | $0.00000666 | 239,076,165 | $1,592.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 4, 2026 8:00am ET | $0.00000696 | 239,076,165 | $1,663.97 | $1,655.83 |
+$63.58 (+4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:00am ET | $0.00000696 | 237,906,547 | $1,655.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 4:15am ET | $0.00000678 | 237,906,547 | $1,613.01 | $1,604.83 |
$-51.00 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.00000635 | 252,729,810 | $1,604.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $0.00000617 | 252,729,810 | $1,559.34 | $1,551.43 |
$-53.40 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 5:05pm ET | $0.00000635 | 244,320,077 | $1,551.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:20am ET | $0.00000672 | 244,320,077 | $1,641.83 | $1,633.85 |
+$82.42 (+5.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $0.00000513 | 318,488,842 | $1,633.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $0.00000498 | 318,488,842 | $1,586.07 | $1,578.02 |
$-55.82 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
54m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $0.00000513 | 307,607,140 | $1,578.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 6:30pm ET | $0.00000519 | 307,607,140 | $1,596.48 | $1,588.54 |
+$10.52 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $0.00000522 | 304,318,925 | $1,588.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 2:25pm ET | $0.00000509 | 304,318,925 | $1,548.98 | $1,541.14 |
$-47.41 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 8:45pm ET | $0.00000521 | 295,804,128 | $1,541.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:50pm ET | $0.00000509 | 295,804,128 | $1,505.64 | $1,498.03 |
$-43.11 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $0.00000433 | 345,964,448 | $1,498.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $0.00000429 | 345,964,448 | $1,484.19 | $1,476.73 |
$-21.29 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $0.00000439 | 336,385,409 | $1,476.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $0.00000426 | 336,385,409 | $1,433.00 | $1,425.73 |
$-51.00 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $0.00000431 | 330,795,246 | $1,425.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET | $0.00000417 | 330,795,246 | $1,379.42 | $1,372.40 |
$-53.32 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $0.00000421 | 325,986,536 | $1,372.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 4:40pm ET | $0.00000419 | 325,986,536 | $1,365.88 | $1,359.04 |
$-13.37 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:10am ET | $0.00000360 | 377,510,519 | $1,359.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:50am ET | $0.00000359 | 377,510,519 | $1,355.26 | $1,348.48 |
$-10.56 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $0.00000385 | 350,253,769 | $1,348.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $0.00000384 | 350,253,769 | $1,344.97 | $1,338.24 |
$-10.24 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:00am ET | $0.00000366 | 365,639,344 | $1,338.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $0.00000356 | 365,639,344 | $1,301.68 | $1,301.68 |
$-43.16 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $0.00000429 | 303,421,911 | $1,301.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $0.00000419 | 303,421,911 | $1,271.34 | $1,271.34 |
$-36.77 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 8:15pm ET | $0.00000409 | 310,841,076 | $1,271.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:25pm ET | $0.00000401 | 310,841,076 | $1,246.47 | $1,246.47 |
$-31.16 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:25am ET | $0.00000429 | 290,552,448 | $1,246.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 4:15pm ET | $0.00000434 | 290,552,448 | $1,261.00 | $1,261.00 |
+$8.26 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET | $0.00000358 | 352,234,637 | $1,261.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $0.00000349 | 352,234,637 | $1,229.30 | $1,229.30 |
$-37.93 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $0.00000359 | 342,423,398 | $1,229.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $0.00000358 | 342,423,398 | $1,225.88 | $1,225.88 |
$-9.56 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 4:00am ET | $0.00000357 | 343,383,754 | $1,225.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 6:40am ET | $0.00000353 | 343,383,754 | $1,212.14 | $1,212.14 |
$-19.83 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $0.00000374 | 324,101,604 | $1,212.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $0.00000372 | 324,101,604 | $1,205.66 | $1,205.66 |
$-12.53 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)