RIOT Trent Follower's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 32 trades in period
+27.86%
Year to Date Return
$11,238.12
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$8,789.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
9.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
15.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 15.1
30-Day Momentum
46
+15.4%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.5
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,848
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,789.44
Current Value
$11,238.12
Period P&L
$2,448.74
Max Drawdown
-45.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
17 /
15
Best Trade
+18.53%
Worst Trade
-4.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.86%
Avg Hold Time
15.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$610,447.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,448.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,448.74
Gross Return
+27.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,789.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $13.37 | 657 | $8,780.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $14.47 | 657 | $9,503.51 | $9,512.08 |
+$722.70 (+8.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:55am ET | $15.31 | 621 | $9,504.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $15.07 | 621 | $9,358.47 | $9,365.59 |
$-146.49 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $15.88 | 589 | $9,350.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:05pm ET | $15.52 | 589 | $9,138.34 | $9,153.55 |
$-212.04 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:35pm ET | $16.06 | 569 | $9,140.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $16.40 | 569 | $9,331.60 | $9,344.62 |
+$191.07 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $17.59 | 531 | $9,337.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $17.31 | 531 | $9,188.96 | $9,195.94 |
$-148.68 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.97 | 511 | $9,182.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.03 | 511 | $9,213.33 | $9,226.60 |
+$30.66 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $17.52 | 526 | $9,215.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $17.66 | 526 | $9,289.16 | $9,300.24 |
+$73.64 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $17.16 | 542 | $9,298.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $17.59 | 542 | $9,533.78 | $9,536.01 |
+$235.77 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $16.05 | 594 | $9,533.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $15.54 | 594 | $9,230.76 | $9,233.07 |
$-302.94 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
36m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:00pm ET | $14.23 | 649 | $9,232.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.59 | 649 | $8,819.91 | $8,820.95 |
$-412.12 (-4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.24 | 666 | $8,816.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.01 | 666 | $9,330.66 | $9,335.10 |
+$514.15 (+5.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $14.96 | 624 | $9,335.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $14.63 | 624 | $9,129.12 | $9,129.18 |
$-205.92 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.50 | 553 | $9,124.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $16.28 | 553 | $9,005.60 | $9,010.28 |
$-118.90 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.16 | 557 | $9,001.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $17.07 | 557 | $9,506.88 | $9,515.31 |
+$505.03 (+5.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $16.64 | 571 | $9,501.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $16.41 | 571 | $9,367.26 | $9,381.13 |
$-134.18 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $16.14 | 581 | $9,377.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $16.26 | 581 | $9,447.06 | $9,450.85 |
+$69.72 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $14.72 | 642 | $9,450.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $14.81 | 642 | $9,504.81 | $9,505.42 |
+$54.57 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:50pm ET | $14.68 | 647 | $9,497.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $14.85 | 647 | $9,607.95 | $9,615.41 |
+$109.99 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $14.93 | 644 | $9,614.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $14.56 | 644 | $9,379.86 | $9,380.35 |
$-235.06 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $13.95 | 672 | $9,374.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $14.17 | 672 | $9,522.24 | $9,528.12 |
+$147.77 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.82 | 642 | $9,514.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $14.64 | 642 | $9,395.67 | $9,409.35 |
$-118.77 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $12.31 | 764 | $9,404.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $12.72 | 764 | $9,714.26 | $9,718.77 |
+$309.42 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.55 | 717 | $9,711.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $13.40 | 717 | $9,607.08 | $9,614.09 |
$-104.68 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.49 | 620 | $9,603.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $15.99 | 620 | $9,916.90 | $9,927.19 |
+$313.10 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.99 | 551 | $9,912.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $18.44 | 551 | $10,163.19 | $10,177.89 |
+$250.70 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.64 | 576 | $10,160.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.91 | 576 | $9,737.28 | $9,754.53 |
$-423.36 (-4.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $17.25 | 565 | $9,746.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $17.78 | 565 | $10,045.70 | $10,053.98 |
+$299.45 (+3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $18.44 | 545 | $10,049.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $17.99 | 545 | $9,804.55 | $9,808.73 |
$-245.25 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
19.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $18.40 | 533 | $9,807.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET | $18.31 | 533 | $9,759.23 | $9,760.76 |
$-47.97 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $18.87 | 517 | $9,755.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $18.30 | 517 | $9,461.10 | $9,466.07 |
$-294.69 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.24 | 582 | $9,451.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.25 | 582 | $11,203.50 | $11,217.89 |
+$1,751.82 (+18.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.40 | 578 | $11,210.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $19.43 | 578 | $11,230.54 | $11,238.12 |
+$20.23 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,238.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,238.12
Total Return:
+12.38%