Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-10.8%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,360
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,163.78
Current Value
$7,548.94
Period P&L
$-614.85
Max Drawdown
-28.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
4 / 10
Best Trade
+7.77%
Worst Trade
-6.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.51%
Avg Hold Time
9.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$234,302.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-614.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-614.85
Gross Return
-7.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,163.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $27.16 300 $8,146.50
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $29.27 300 $8,779.50 $8,796.79 +$633.00
(+7.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $28.02 314 $8,796.71
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.72 314 $8,702.51 $8,702.59 $-94.20
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $26.23 331 $8,681.77
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $26.11 331 $8,642.41 $8,663.24 $-39.36
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $20.36 425 $8,655.04
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $20.83 425 $8,853.34 $8,861.54 +$198.31
(+2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $19.19 461 $8,846.59
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $19.36 461 $8,925.01 $8,939.96 +$78.42
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $18.94 472 $8,938.22
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET $18.34 472 $8,654.64 $8,656.38 $-283.58
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $17.93 482 $8,643.03
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.57 482 $8,466.33 $8,479.68 $-176.70
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:30am ET $15.65 541 $8,469.35
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $15.63 541 $8,455.78 $8,466.10 $-13.58
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
23.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $16.24 521 $8,461.04
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $16.14 521 $8,406.39 $8,411.45 $-54.65
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $17.70 475 $8,409.87
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $16.62 475 $7,894.50 $7,896.08 $-515.37
(-6.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.54 450 $7,893.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $17.82 450 $8,018.87 $8,021.94 +$125.86
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $19.51 411 $8,018.61
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $19.05 411 $7,829.51 $7,832.84 $-189.10
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $19.07 410 $7,816.65
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $18.70 410 $7,669.05 $7,685.24 $-147.60
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:25am ET $16.34 470 $7,682.15
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $16.06 470 $7,545.85 $7,548.94 $-136.30
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,548.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,451.06
Total Return: -24.51%
Back to Trent Follower