SOXL Trent Follower's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 35 trades in period
+57.47%
Year to Date Return
$10,281.42
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$6,529.04
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
4.8/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
10.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 10.6
30-Day Momentum
90
+43.6%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
6.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 100.0
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+79 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,934
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
86 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$6,529.04
Current Value
$10,281.42
Period P&L
$3,752.38
Max Drawdown
-58.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
20 /
15
Best Trade
+18.05%
Worst Trade
-6.58%
Avg Trade Return
+1.47%
Avg Hold Time
13.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$502,964.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,752.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,752.38
Gross Return
+57.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+57.47%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 86 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,529.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 137 | $6,506.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $47.33 | 137 | $6,484.21 | $6,506.28 |
$-22.76 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.49 | 121 | $6,472.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.15 | 121 | $6,310.15 | $6,344.14 |
$-162.14 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.03 | 117 | $6,321.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $53.86 | 117 | $6,301.62 | $6,324.25 |
$-19.89 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.41 | 112 | $6,317.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.94 | 112 | $6,040.72 | $6,047.05 |
$-277.20 (-4.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $59.11 | 102 | $6,029.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $60.70 | 102 | $6,191.40 | $6,209.23 |
+$162.18 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.92 | 97 | $6,200.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.16 | 97 | $6,223.52 | $6,232.51 |
+$23.28 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.50 | 95 | $6,222.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $70.95 | 95 | $6,740.25 | $6,750.26 |
+$517.75 (+8.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $63.90 | 105 | $6,709.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:45pm ET | $66.03 | 105 | $6,932.63 | $6,973.39 |
+$223.13 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $61.19 | 113 | $6,915.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.41 | 113 | $6,600.43 | $6,658.79 |
$-314.60 (-4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
17.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.78 | 123 | $6,614.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $51.97 | 123 | $6,392.31 | $6,436.16 |
$-222.63 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
30m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $58.07 | 110 | $6,387.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.40 | 110 | $6,644.00 | $6,692.46 |
+$256.30 (+4.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.72 | 98 | $6,636.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $64.47 | 98 | $6,318.06 | $6,374.18 |
$-318.28 (-4.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
45m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $65.42 | 97 | $6,345.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $64.74 | 97 | $6,280.17 | $6,308.65 |
$-65.53 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $66.85 | 94 | $6,283.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $65.81 | 94 | $6,186.14 | $6,210.89 |
$-97.76 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.44 | 90 | $6,159.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $69.23 | 90 | $6,230.70 | $6,282.13 |
+$71.24 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.21 | 111 | $6,239.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $56.33 | 111 | $6,253.18 | $6,296.01 |
+$13.88 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $54.72 | 115 | $6,292.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.12 | 115 | $5,878.57 | $5,881.77 |
$-414.24 (-6.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
17.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $49.39 | 119 | $5,877.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $56.84 | 119 | $6,764.01 | $6,768.35 |
+$886.59 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.80 | 128 | $6,758.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $50.95 | 128 | $6,521.92 | $6,531.87 |
$-236.48 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $54.39 | 120 | $6,526.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $54.59 | 120 | $6,550.80 | $6,555.86 |
+$23.99 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $54.76 | 119 | $6,516.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.80 | 119 | $6,402.20 | $6,441.71 |
$-114.16 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $55.71 | 115 | $6,406.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $53.00 | 115 | $6,095.00 | $6,130.06 |
$-311.65 (-4.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $56.83 | 107 | $6,080.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $56.88 | 107 | $6,086.16 | $6,135.41 |
+$5.35 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.83 | 143 | $6,123.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.97 | 143 | $7,146.42 | $7,157.86 |
+$1,022.45 (+16.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.63 | 131 | $7,156.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.88 | 131 | $7,058.27 | $7,059.60 |
$-98.26 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $56.46 | 125 | $7,057.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.65 | 125 | $8,331.07 | $8,333.17 |
+$1,273.57 (+18.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $69.49 | 119 | $8,269.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $76.46 | 119 | $9,098.74 | $9,162.60 |
+$829.43 (+10.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.04 | 110 | $9,134.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $84.22 | 110 | $9,264.75 | $9,292.95 |
+$130.35 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.11 | 107 | $9,213.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $87.57 | 107 | $9,369.99 | $9,449.26 |
+$156.31 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.63 | 97 | $9,373.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $93.29 | 97 | $9,049.14 | $9,125.29 |
$-323.97 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.94 | 88 | $9,058.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $103.86 | 88 | $9,139.68 | $9,206.25 |
+$80.96 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.33 | 72 | $9,095.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $127.97 | 72 | $9,213.84 | $9,324.33 |
+$118.08 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $110.98 | 84 | $9,322.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $113.97 | 84 | $9,573.11 | $9,575.12 |
+$250.79 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $124.81 | 76 | $9,485.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $125.35 | 76 | $9,526.32 | $9,615.92 |
+$40.80 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.62 | 70 | $9,493.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $145.13 | 70 | $10,158.75 | $10,281.42 |
+$665.50 (+7.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,281.42
Net Profit/Loss:
+$281.42
Total Return:
+2.81%