Compendium › Trent Follower › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 8 trades in period

-9.80%
Year to Date Return
$6,678.33
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$7,404.21
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.3/10
Raw Quality 2.3/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 1.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,663
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,404.21
Current Value
$6,678.33
Period P&L
$-725.88
Max Drawdown
-32.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.86

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+1.27%
Worst Trade
-3.96%
Avg Trade Return
-1.28%
Avg Hold Time
14h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,817.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-725.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$-725.88
Gross Return
-9.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,404.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $49.82 148 $7,372.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $50.45 148 $7,466.60 $7,498.12 +$93.91
(+1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $48.98 153 $7,493.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $48.03 153 $7,348.59 $7,352.77 $-145.35
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $51.18 143 $7,318.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $50.21 143 $7,180.03 $7,214.06 $-138.71
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $51.67 139 $7,182.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $51.03 139 $7,093.17 $7,125.10 $-88.96
(-1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $52.70 135 $7,114.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $51.67 135 $6,975.45 $6,986.05 $-139.05
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $56.42 123 $6,939.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $56.02 123 $6,890.46 $6,936.85 $-49.20
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $59.78 116 $6,934.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $59.91 116 $6,949.56 $6,951.93 +$15.08
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $57.63 120 $6,915.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $55.35 120 $6,642.00 $6,678.33 $-273.60
(-4.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,678.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,321.67
Total Return: -33.22%
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