Compendium › Trent Follower › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 15 trades in period

+11.74%
Year to Date Return
$12,015.70
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,752.91
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:27:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 25.8/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 24.8

30-Day Momentum

45
+5.6%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 60.9 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,504
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,752.91
Current Value
$12,015.70
Period P&L
$1,262.76
Max Drawdown
-29.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+10.59%
Worst Trade
-2.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.79%
Avg Hold Time
14.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$328,020.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,262.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,262.76
Gross Return
+11.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,752.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $55.43 193 $10,697.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $55.46 193 $10,702.82 $10,757.75 +$4.82
(+0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET $52.81 203 $10,720.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $51.49 203 $10,453.40 $10,490.73 $-267.03
(-2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:55am ET $50.31 208 $10,464.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $49.22 208 $10,237.70 $10,263.95 $-226.78
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET $51.51 199 $10,249.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $51.20 199 $10,188.80 $10,203.25 $-60.70
(-0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
23.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET $49.99 204 $10,197.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $50.42 204 $10,284.97 $10,290.26 +$87.01
(+0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $49.03 209 $10,246.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $49.77 209 $10,401.93 $10,445.96 +$155.70
(+1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
22.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET $47.72 218 $10,402.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $47.56 218 $10,366.99 $10,409.99 $-35.97
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $45.06 231 $10,408.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $44.55 231 $10,291.05 $10,292.18 $-117.81
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $39.38 261 $10,276.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $43.54 261 $11,365.24 $11,380.55 +$1,088.37
(+10.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 233 $11,358.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $47.91 233 $11,163.01 $11,184.81 $-195.74
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $51.65 216 $11,155.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $54.13 216 $11,693.16 $11,722.65 +$537.84
(+4.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $58.26 201 $11,709.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $58.29 201 $11,717.29 $11,730.69 +$8.04
(+0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $61.36 191 $11,719.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $62.15 191 $11,871.60 $11,882.53 +$151.84
(+1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3d held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $65.25 182 $11,874.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $65.38 182 $11,899.16 $11,907.10 +$24.57
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $66.83 178 $11,895.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $67.44 178 $12,004.34 $12,015.70 +$108.60
(+0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,015.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,015.70
Total Return: +20.16%
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