Compendium › Trent Follower › USO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
USO
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 18 trades in period

-11.08%
Year to Date Return
$8,244.74
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,271.74
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:29:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.5/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

2
-4.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,835
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,271.74
Current Value
$8,244.74
Period P&L
$-1,027.00
Max Drawdown
-9.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
6 / 12
Best Trade
+2.98%
Worst Trade
-4.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.63%
Avg Hold Time
7.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$316,658.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,027.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,027.00
Gross Return
-11.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,271.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $73.80 125 $9,225.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $73.15 125 $9,143.75 $9,190.49 $-81.25
(-0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $73.91 124 $9,164.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $73.70 124 $9,138.80 $9,164.45 $-26.04
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $80.02 114 $9,122.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $79.01 114 $9,007.14 $9,049.31 $-115.14
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:50am ET $78.28 115 $9,002.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:20pm ET $80.61 115 $9,270.72 $9,317.83 +$268.52
(+3.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $87.67 106 $9,293.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $85.74 106 $9,088.43 $9,113.24 $-204.59
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $94.40 96 $9,062.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $96.67 96 $9,280.32 $9,331.16 +$217.92
(+2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.16 78 $9,294.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:55am ET $113.70 78 $8,868.60 $8,905.28 $-425.88
(-4.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $104.46 85 $8,879.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $105.85 85 $8,997.25 $9,023.43 +$118.15
(+1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
22.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:50am ET $124.81 72 $8,986.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 12:50pm ET $120.66 72 $8,687.43 $8,724.54 $-298.89
(-3.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $115.22 75 $8,641.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $114.28 75 $8,570.85 $8,653.68 $-70.86
(-0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $116.71 74 $8,636.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $117.68 74 $8,708.32 $8,725.46 +$71.78
(+0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $127.30 68 $8,656.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $127.97 68 $8,701.97 $8,771.03 +$45.57
(+0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $138.90 63 $8,750.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $137.21 63 $8,643.92 $8,664.25 $-106.78
(-1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $127.31 68 $8,657.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:50am ET $126.10 68 $8,574.80 $8,581.97 $-82.28
(-1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 64 $8,528.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $129.66 64 $8,298.23 $8,351.49 $-230.48
(-2.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $119.89 69 $8,272.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $121.57 69 $8,388.33 $8,467.41 +$115.92
(+1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $136.27 62 $8,448.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $132.92 62 $8,241.04 $8,259.48 $-207.93
(-2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
19.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $139.33 59 $8,220.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $139.08 59 $8,205.73 $8,244.74 $-14.74
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,244.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,755.26
Total Return: -17.55%
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