Compendium › Trent Follower › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 2 trades in period

-0.74%
Year to Date Return
$10,152.44
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,228.51
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:08:50

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
3.3/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 15.0/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 10.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,854
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,228.51
Current Value
$10,152.44
Period P&L
$-76.06
Max Drawdown
-2.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.65

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+0.20%
Worst Trade
-0.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.37%
Avg Hold Time
4.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$40,485.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-76.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-76.06
Gross Return
-0.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,228.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $143.16 71 $10,164.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $141.81 71 $10,068.51 $10,132.30 $-96.20
(-0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $190.87 53 $10,116.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $191.25 53 $10,136.25 $10,152.44 +$20.14
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,152.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$152.44
Total Return: +1.52%
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