Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:40:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 57%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.57 = 2.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (57%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
51,487
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,393.17
Total P&L
$-606.82
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+2.16%
Worst Trade
-2.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$329,995.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-606.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-606.82
Gross Return
-6.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2024 9:30am ET $524.27 19 $9,961.13
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2024 1:40pm ET $525.14 19 $9,977.66 $10,016.53 +$16.53
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2024 9:55am ET $513.93 19 $9,764.58
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2024 2:15pm ET $509.08 19 $9,672.52 $9,924.48 $-92.05
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET $501.00 19 $9,519.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 3:15pm ET $503.91 19 $9,574.29 $9,979.77 +$55.29
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2024 10:10am ET $519.73 19 $9,874.87
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 3:50pm ET $526.55 19 $10,004.45 $10,109.35 +$129.58
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:35am ET $531.68 19 $10,101.92
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 1:20pm ET $535.62 19 $10,176.78 $10,184.21 +$74.86
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $421.82 24 $10,123.56
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 12:05pm ET $416.51 24 $9,996.24 $10,056.89 $-127.32
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2025 9:40am ET $449.35 22 $9,885.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2025 2:15pm ET $451.03 22 $9,922.66 $10,093.85 +$36.96
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $350.89 28 $9,824.92
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:05am ET $354.87 28 $9,936.36 $10,205.29 +$111.44
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
20.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $361.52 28 $10,122.42
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 11:40am ET $353.10 28 $9,886.80 $9,969.67 $-235.62
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $397.16 25 $9,929.00
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 3:30pm ET $394.69 25 $9,867.25 $9,907.92 $-61.75
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
11 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 9:45am ET $417.49 23 $9,602.16
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 1:05pm ET $414.85 23 $9,541.55 $9,847.31 $-60.60
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:00am ET $404.77 24 $9,714.36
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 11:35am ET $394.96 24 $9,478.99 $9,611.94 $-235.37
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET $352.82 27 $9,526.14
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 11:45am ET $346.36 27 $9,351.72 $9,437.52 $-174.42
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET $356.39 26 $9,266.14
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $355.40 26 $9,240.27 $9,411.65 $-25.87
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
22.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:40am ET $339.03 27 $9,153.81
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $346.34 27 $9,351.18 $9,609.02 +$197.37
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $257.90 37 $9,542.48
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $255.05 37 $9,436.85 $9,503.39 $-105.63
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET $284.52 33 $9,389.16
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $281.18 33 $9,278.94 $9,393.17 $-110.22
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,393.17
Net Profit/Loss: $-606.83
Total Return: -6.07%
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