Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:16:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 63%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
5.6/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.0/100
× Confidence 0.63 = 14.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (63%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,837
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,163.00
Current Value
$10,370.13
Total P&L
$207.12
Max Drawdown
-2.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-2.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
20.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$180,863.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$207.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$207.12
Gross Return
+2.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,163.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $290.72 34 $9,884.48
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET $289.93 34 $9,857.62 $10,136.14 $-26.86
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:45am ET $308.86 32 $9,883.52
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 10:00am ET $311.67 32 $9,973.44 $10,226.06 +$89.92
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $244.86 41 $10,039.06
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $238.63 41 $9,783.83 $9,970.84 $-255.23
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $247.00 40 $9,880.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:40am ET $249.44 40 $9,977.40 $10,068.24 +$97.40
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 9:35am ET $249.01 40 $9,960.20
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $249.84 40 $9,993.60 $10,101.64 +$33.40
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $295.84 34 $10,058.56
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 3:25pm ET $302.28 34 $10,277.35 $10,320.43 +$218.79
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:45am ET $319.32 32 $10,218.24
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 2:10pm ET $319.20 32 $10,214.24 $10,316.43 $-4.00
(-0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $339.16 30 $10,174.80
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $345.11 30 $10,353.30 $10,494.93 +$178.50
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $319.66 32 $10,229.12
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $315.76 32 $10,104.32 $10,370.13 $-124.80
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,370.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$370.13
Total Return: +3.70%
Back to Trent Follower