Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:26:39

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
3.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 7.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,856
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,020.90
Current Value
$10,190.18
Total P&L
$169.27
Max Drawdown
-3.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+4.19%
Worst Trade
-1.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$176,458.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$169.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$169.27
Gross Return
+1.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,020.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 9:35am ET $41.04 244 $10,012.54
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2024 12:55pm ET $40.49 244 $9,878.34 $9,886.70 $-134.20
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2024 9:35am ET $41.99 235 $9,867.65
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2024 1:20pm ET $41.63 235 $9,781.88 $9,800.93 $-85.78
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET $43.78 223 $9,762.94
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 1:30pm ET $43.32 223 $9,660.36 $9,698.35 $-102.58
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $44.24 219 $9,687.47
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET $44.46 219 $9,736.74 $9,747.62 +$49.28
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 10:45am ET $37.44 260 $9,734.43
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 3:35pm ET $37.40 260 $9,722.70 $9,735.89 $-11.73
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $34.16 285 $9,734.18
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:00am ET $34.11 285 $9,721.35 $9,723.07 $-12.83
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
20.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:45am ET $29.27 332 $9,715.98
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:05pm ET $29.70 332 $9,860.40 $9,867.49 +$144.42
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $29.60 333 $9,855.14
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $29.34 333 $9,768.56 $9,780.91 $-86.58
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $30.45 321 $9,774.45
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $31.73 321 $10,183.73 $10,190.18 +$409.27
(+4.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,190.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$190.18
Total Return: +1.90%
Back to Trent Follower