Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
0.0/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,677
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,843.04
Current Value
$9,241.72
Total P&L
$-601.33
Max Drawdown
-6.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.93

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
12
Winners / Losers
1 / 11
Best Trade
+0.41%
Worst Trade
-2.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.53%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$224,975.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-601.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-601.33
Gross Return
-6.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,843.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 15, 2024 9:30am ET $350.08 28 $9,802.10
🔴 SELL May 15, 2024 2:45pm ET $348.57 28 $9,759.96 $9,800.90 $-42.14
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2024 9:30am ET $348.28 28 $9,751.84
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2024 1:05pm ET $344.80 28 $9,654.40 $9,703.46 $-97.44
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $406.34 23 $9,345.82
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 1:35pm ET $403.61 23 $9,283.03 $9,640.67 $-62.79
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:05am ET $351.89 27 $9,501.03
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 11:20am ET $344.74 27 $9,307.98 $9,447.62 $-193.05
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $347.20 27 $9,374.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:25am ET $348.64 27 $9,413.28 $9,486.50 +$38.88
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
21.1h held
6 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $377.60 25 $9,440.00
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 2:55pm ET $374.90 25 $9,372.50 $9,419.00 $-67.50
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:35am ET $408.24 23 $9,389.52
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 1:00pm ET $406.32 23 $9,345.25 $9,374.73 $-44.28
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET $359.67 26 $9,351.42
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:15pm ET $359.61 26 $9,349.86 $9,373.17 $-1.56
(-0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $389.50 24 $9,348.00
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $387.42 24 $9,297.96 $9,323.13 $-50.04
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET $332.56 28 $9,311.68
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $331.16 28 $9,272.48 $9,283.93 $-39.20
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $335.86 27 $9,068.22
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $335.12 27 $9,048.24 $9,263.95 $-19.98
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:20am ET $350.17 26 $9,104.29
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $349.31 26 $9,082.06 $9,241.72 $-22.23
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,241.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-758.28
Total Return: -7.58%
Back to Trent Follower