Compendium › Trent Follower › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 15:15:00+00 • 8 trades executed

-5.87%
2 Years Return
$9,373.73
Current Value
17%
Win Rate
$9,957.76
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:19:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 16%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
63.9/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
0.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.16 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (16%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
78,260
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,957.76
Current Value
$9,373.73
Total P&L
$-584.03
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.89

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+1.42%
Worst Trade
-1.88%
Avg Trade Return
-1.04%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,948.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-584.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-584.03
Gross Return
-5.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,957.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $370.53 26 $9,633.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $364.08 26 $9,466.10 $9,790.21 $-167.55
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $374.33 26 $9,732.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:05am ET $379.63 26 $9,870.38 $9,928.01 +$137.80
(+1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
20.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $377.76 26 $9,821.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 12:45pm ET $374.95 26 $9,748.70 $9,854.95 $-73.06
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $435.78 22 $9,587.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 1:30pm ET $429.20 22 $9,442.29 $9,710.08 $-144.87
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $544.62 17 $9,258.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:15pm ET $535.04 17 $9,095.68 $9,547.22 $-162.86
(-1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $384.69 24 $9,232.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $377.46 24 $9,059.07 $9,373.73 $-173.49
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,373.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-626.27
Total Return: -6.26%
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