ORCL Trent Follower's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 54 trades executed
+16.38%
2 Years Return
$11,626.46
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$9,990.34
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
25.9/100
× Confidence 0.88
= 22.7
30-Day Momentum
33
+8.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.1
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
66,591
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,990.34
Current Value
$11,626.46
Total P&L
$1,636.13
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
52
Winners / Losers
27 /
25
Best Trade
+15.46%
Worst Trade
-6.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
11.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,145,828.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,636.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,636.13
Gross Return
+16.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,990.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2024 12:10pm ET | $121.47 | 82 | $9,960.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2024 10:00am ET | $119.92 | 82 | $9,833.44 | $9,863.24 |
$-127.10 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $137.92 | 71 | $9,792.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2024 9:45am ET | $139.17 | 71 | $9,881.07 | $9,951.99 |
+$88.75 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2024 9:50am ET | $140.58 | 70 | $9,840.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2024 12:50pm ET | $139.02 | 70 | $9,731.40 | $9,842.79 |
$-109.20 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2024 9:30am ET | $154.62 | 63 | $9,741.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2024 1:25pm ET | $156.01 | 63 | $9,828.63 | $9,930.36 |
+$87.57 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2024 9:40am ET | $161.78 | 61 | $9,868.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 13, 2024 11:30am ET | $162.78 | 61 | $9,929.58 | $9,991.43 |
+$61.07 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2024 11:30am ET | $171.25 | 58 | $9,932.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2024 1:40pm ET | $170.75 | 58 | $9,903.50 | $9,962.43 |
$-29.00 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $178.01 | 55 | $9,790.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 1:40pm ET | $180.34 | 55 | $9,918.70 | $10,090.58 |
+$128.15 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2024 9:40am ET | $187.91 | 53 | $9,959.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2024 1:35pm ET | $188.58 | 53 | $9,994.74 | $10,126.09 |
+$35.51 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2025 12:45pm ET | $168.83 | 59 | $9,961.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2025 3:00pm ET | $184.84 | 59 | $10,905.56 | $11,070.48 |
+$944.39 (+9.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2025 10:20am ET | $162.29 | 68 | $11,035.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2025 3:45pm ET | $163.99 | 68 | $11,151.32 | $11,186.08 |
+$115.60 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $168.10 | 66 | $11,094.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 3:40pm ET | $170.00 | 66 | $11,219.67 | $11,311.15 |
+$125.07 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2025 11:40am ET | $181.37 | 62 | $11,244.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2025 1:55pm ET | $179.76 | 62 | $11,144.81 | $11,211.02 |
$-100.13 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $131.05 | 85 | $11,138.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 12:05pm ET | $129.12 | 85 | $10,974.78 | $11,046.97 |
$-164.05 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET | $131.32 | 84 | $11,030.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $134.63 | 84 | $11,308.50 | $11,324.59 |
+$277.62 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $135.68 | 83 | $11,261.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 11:45am ET | $133.79 | 83 | $11,104.57 | $11,167.72 |
$-156.87 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $134.52 | 83 | $11,164.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 12:15pm ET | $131.44 | 83 | $10,909.52 | $10,912.49 |
$-255.22 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $146.06 | 74 | $10,808.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 12:50pm ET | $146.01 | 74 | $10,804.97 | $10,909.02 |
$-3.47 (-0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $155.30 | 70 | $10,871.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 1:55pm ET | $161.24 | 70 | $11,286.80 | $11,324.82 |
+$415.80 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $192.74 | 58 | $11,178.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 2:05pm ET | $200.61 | 58 | $11,635.38 | $11,781.28 |
+$456.46 (+4.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $211.76 | 55 | $11,646.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 2:35pm ET | $214.53 | 55 | $11,799.15 | $11,933.63 |
+$152.35 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $224.07 | 53 | $11,875.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 12:55pm ET | $219.33 | 53 | $11,624.49 | $11,682.41 |
$-251.22 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $232.94 | 50 | $11,646.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $231.86 | 50 | $11,593.00 | $11,628.66 |
$-53.75 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 9:45am ET | $246.87 | 47 | $11,602.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 1:00pm ET | $247.35 | 47 | $11,625.45 | $11,651.22 |
+$22.56 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:50am ET | $257.11 | 45 | $11,569.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 1:25pm ET | $257.92 | 45 | $11,606.18 | $11,687.44 |
+$36.23 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $230.63 | 50 | $11,531.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $239.12 | 50 | $11,955.75 | $12,111.69 |
+$424.25 (+3.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $326.02 | 37 | $12,062.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 1:30pm ET | $334.56 | 37 | $12,378.72 | $12,427.67 |
+$315.98 (+2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $303.42 | 40 | $12,136.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 1:00pm ET | $300.61 | 40 | $12,024.40 | $12,315.27 |
$-112.40 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 10:30am ET | $315.82 | 38 | $12,001.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $321.37 | 38 | $12,212.06 | $12,526.17 |
+$210.90 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
23h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:45am ET | $306.32 | 40 | $12,252.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 2:50pm ET | $308.78 | 40 | $12,351.20 | $12,624.77 |
+$98.60 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 1:05pm ET | $318.80 | 39 | $12,433.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $298.11 | 39 | $11,626.43 | $11,818.20 |
$-806.58 (-6.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $244.28 | 48 | $11,725.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 12:55pm ET | $241.43 | 48 | $11,588.64 | $11,681.40 |
$-136.80 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:20am ET | $224.08 | 52 | $11,652.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:15pm ET | $224.78 | 52 | $11,688.51 | $11,717.75 |
+$36.35 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $232.62 | 50 | $11,631.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $226.56 | 50 | $11,328.00 | $11,414.75 |
$-303.00 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $206.88 | 55 | $11,378.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:30pm ET | $205.17 | 55 | $11,284.35 | $11,320.70 |
$-94.05 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $208.12 | 54 | $11,238.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET | $203.32 | 54 | $10,979.01 | $11,061.50 |
$-259.20 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $222.87 | 49 | $10,920.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 12:00pm ET | $218.32 | 49 | $10,697.68 | $10,838.79 |
$-222.71 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 2:35pm ET | $200.45 | 54 | $10,824.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $195.77 | 54 | $10,571.58 | $10,586.07 |
$-252.72 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $189.60 | 55 | $10,428.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 1:40pm ET | $192.95 | 55 | $10,612.25 | $10,770.32 |
+$184.25 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $197.36 | 54 | $10,657.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.44 | 54 | $10,661.76 | $10,774.64 |
+$4.32 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.52 | 60 | $10,710.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:25pm ET | $178.27 | 60 | $10,696.11 | $10,759.85 |
$-14.79 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.01 | 58 | $10,614.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $183.67 | 58 | $10,652.86 | $10,798.13 |
+$38.28 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $180.81 | 59 | $10,667.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $175.32 | 59 | $10,343.88 | $10,474.17 |
$-323.96 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.07 | 68 | $10,340.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:50pm ET | $157.80 | 68 | $10,730.40 | $10,864.10 |
+$389.93 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $145.45 | 74 | $10,763.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $145.52 | 74 | $10,768.33 | $10,869.13 |
+$5.03 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $148.99 | 72 | $10,727.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $148.62 | 72 | $10,700.64 | $10,842.49 |
$-26.64 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.00 | 65 | $10,790.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $163.46 | 65 | $10,624.89 | $10,677.38 |
$-165.11 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.00 | 70 | $10,570.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $143.90 | 70 | $10,073.35 | $10,180.73 |
$-496.65 (-4.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.28 | 70 | $10,099.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.59 | 70 | $11,661.30 | $11,742.43 |
+$1,561.70 (+15.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.17 | 69 | $11,672.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $168.84 | 69 | $11,649.96 | $11,719.66 |
$-22.77 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $183.76 | 63 | $11,576.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $178.63 | 63 | $11,253.38 | $11,396.16 |
$-323.50 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $182.85 | 62 | $11,337.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:20pm ET | $183.36 | 62 | $11,368.32 | $11,427.47 |
+$31.31 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.17 | 67 | $11,334.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $172.14 | 67 | $11,533.38 | $11,626.46 |
+$198.99 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,626.46
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,626.46
Total Return:
+16.26%