Compendium › Trent Follower › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+2.54%
2 Years Return
$10,254.08
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 17%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
65.4/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
39.4/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
27.5/10
Raw Quality 214.9/100
× Confidence 0.17 = 37.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (17%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
41,421
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
506 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,254.08
Total P&L
$254.08
Max Drawdown
-3.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+3.45%
Worst Trade
-2.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
11.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$135,392.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$254.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$254.08
Gross Return
+2.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 506 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2024 9:55am ET $490.89 20 $9,817.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $488.48 20 $9,769.60 $9,951.80 $-48.20
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
23.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2025 9:35am ET $457.26 21 $9,602.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2025 1:35pm ET $464.65 21 $9,757.73 $10,107.07 +$155.27
(+1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 9:40am ET $510.18 19 $9,693.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 11:30am ET $498.95 19 $9,480.02 $9,893.68 $-213.40
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $482.76 20 $9,655.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $474.31 20 $9,486.27 $9,724.75 $-168.93
(-1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $450.37 21 $9,457.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $456.21 21 $9,580.36 $9,847.34 +$122.59
(+1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $462.40 21 $9,710.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $465.94 21 $9,784.74 $9,921.78 +$74.45
(+0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $481.61 20 $9,632.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $498.23 20 $9,964.60 $10,254.08 +$332.30
(+3.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,254.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$254.08
Total Return: +2.54%
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