Compendium › Victor Calm Spike › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Calm Spike's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+11.38%
Last Month Return
$16,451.50
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$14,770.71
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-25 00:50:53

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
11.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 77.4/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 54.8

30-Day Momentum

35
+11.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.6 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,770.71
Current Value
$16,451.50
Period P&L
$1,680.79
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.70

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+8.16%
Worst Trade
-4.12%
Avg Trade Return
+4.04%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$94,534.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,680.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,680.79
Gross Return
+11.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $14,770.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $118.42 124 $14,684.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $127.99 124 $15,870.14 $15,956.77 +$1,186.06
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $118.42 124 $14,684.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:20am ET $128.08 124 $15,881.92 $17,154.61 +$1,197.84
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $123.61 138 $17,058.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $118.52 138 $16,355.76 $16,451.50 $-703.11
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,451.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,451.50
Total Return: +64.52%
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