Compendium › Victor Calm Spike › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Calm Spike's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-6.19%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,140.61
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$15,073.34
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-25 01:00:57

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.0/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 61.4/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 44.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-6.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-44 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,073.34
Current Value
$14,140.61
Period P&L
$-932.72
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+2.92%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
-2.05%
Avg Hold Time
11.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$89,540.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-932.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-932.72
Gross Return
-6.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $15,073.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $131.42 114 $14,981.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $135.26 114 $15,419.07 $15,510.52 +$437.19
(+2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $133.52 116 $15,488.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $127.44 116 $14,783.04 $14,804.66 $-705.86
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $129.52 114 $14,765.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $123.70 114 $14,101.80 $14,140.61 $-664.05
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,140.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,140.61
Total Return: +41.41%
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