Compendium › Victor Calm Spike › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Calm Spike's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 4 trades in period

+19.66%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,770.71
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$12,344.41
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:35:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 47%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.4/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
10.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 74.1/100
× Confidence 0.47 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (47%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,201
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,344.41
Current Value
$14,770.71
Period P&L
$2,426.30
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.91

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+9.53%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
+4.85%
Avg Hold Time
15d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,741.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,426.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,426.30
Gross Return
+19.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $12,344.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $70.76 173 $12,241.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $77.50 173 $13,407.50 $13,461.85 +$1,166.42
(+9.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $77.98 172 $13,412.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $74.72 172 $12,851.84 $12,901.13 $-560.72
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $73.94 174 $12,865.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $78.43 174 $13,645.95 $13,681.52 +$780.39
(+6.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET $80.56 169 $13,613.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $87.00 169 $14,703.00 $14,770.71 +$1,089.19
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,770.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,770.71
Total Return: +47.71%
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