Compendium › Victor Calm Spike › VXX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VXX
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Calm Spike's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+10.20%
Year to Date Return
$17,376.78
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$15,768.59
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:46:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 2, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 53%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
4.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 65.9/100
× Confidence 0.53 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (53%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,807
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,768.59
Current Value
$17,376.78
Period P&L
$1,608.19
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+8.75%
Worst Trade
-4.32%
Avg Trade Return
+2.10%
Avg Hold Time
9.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$133,890.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,608.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,608.19
Gross Return
+10.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $15,768.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $27.08 595 $16,112.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.91 595 $15,416.45 $15,417.54 $-696.15
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.13 590 $15,416.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $28.26 590 $16,673.40 $16,674.65 +$1,257.11
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $26.13 638 $16,667.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $28.41 638 $18,125.58 $18,132.48 +$1,457.83
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.45 660 $18,117.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:15am ET $26.31 660 $17,361.30 $17,376.78 $-755.70
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,376.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,376.78
Total Return: +73.77%
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