Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:30:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 47%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.4/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
10.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 74.1/100
× Confidence 0.47 = 35.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (47%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
57,667
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$14,770.71
Total P&L
$4,770.71
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.63

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+12.20%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
+2.94%
Avg Hold Time
19d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$338,457.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,770.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,770.71
Gross Return
+47.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+47.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2024 3:50pm ET $55.36 180 $9,963.90
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2024 2:50pm ET $57.66 180 $10,377.90 $10,414.00 +$414.00
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 3:50pm ET $56.90 183 $10,411.79
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 3:50pm ET $58.65 183 $10,732.95 $10,735.17 +$321.16
(+3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $58.59 183 $10,721.97
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET $59.29 183 $10,850.07 $10,863.27 +$128.10
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2025 2:15pm ET $59.11 183 $10,816.22
🔴 SELL Jan 24, 2025 2:15pm ET $61.98 183 $11,341.43 $11,388.48 +$525.21
(+4.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $59.08 192 $11,343.36
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2025 9:30am ET $66.29 192 $12,727.68 $12,772.80 +$1,384.32
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 1:50pm ET $65.00 196 $12,739.02
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 1:50pm ET $63.80 196 $12,503.82 $12,537.60 $-235.20
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 12:55pm ET $69.36 180 $12,484.80
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $68.21 180 $12,276.90 $12,329.70 $-207.90
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $67.82 181 $12,275.42
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET $66.41 181 $12,019.31 $12,073.58 $-256.11
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 11:20am ET $67.42 179 $12,067.29
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 11:20am ET $66.66 179 $11,931.93 $11,938.22 $-135.36
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 11:40am ET $66.78 178 $11,886.52
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 11:40am ET $68.79 178 $12,243.73 $12,295.43 +$357.21
(+3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $70.76 173 $12,241.08
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $77.50 173 $13,407.50 $13,461.85 +$1,166.42
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $77.98 172 $13,412.56
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $74.72 172 $12,851.84 $12,901.13 $-560.72
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $73.94 174 $12,865.56
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $78.43 174 $13,645.95 $13,681.52 +$780.39
(+6.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET $80.56 169 $13,613.81
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $87.00 169 $14,703.00 $14,770.71 +$1,089.19
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,770.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,770.71
Total Return: +47.71%
Back to Victor Calm Spike