Compendium › Victor Calm Spike › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Calm Spike's Analysis

2024-01-02 11:00:00+00 to 2026-06-24 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+64.51%
2 Years Return
$16,451.50
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 23:32:13

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
11.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 77.4/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 54.8

30-Day Momentum

35
+11.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.6 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,208
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
527 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$16,451.50
Total P&L
$6,451.50
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+12.20%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
+3.14%
Avg Hold Time
16.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$432,992.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,451.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,451.50
Gross Return
+64.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+64.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 527 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2024 3:50pm ET $55.36 180 $9,963.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2024 2:50pm ET $57.66 180 $10,377.90 $10,414.00 +$414.00
(+4.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 3:50pm ET $56.90 183 $10,411.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 3:50pm ET $58.65 183 $10,732.95 $10,735.17 +$321.16
(+3.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $58.59 183 $10,721.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET $59.29 183 $10,850.07 $10,863.27 +$128.10
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2025 2:15pm ET $59.11 183 $10,816.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 24, 2025 2:15pm ET $61.98 183 $11,341.43 $11,388.48 +$525.21
(+4.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $59.08 192 $11,343.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2025 9:30am ET $66.29 192 $12,727.68 $12,772.80 +$1,384.32
(+12.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 1:50pm ET $65.00 196 $12,739.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 1:50pm ET $63.80 196 $12,503.82 $12,537.60 $-235.20
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 12:55pm ET $69.36 180 $12,484.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $68.21 180 $12,276.90 $12,329.70 $-207.90
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $67.82 181 $12,275.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET $66.41 181 $12,019.31 $12,073.58 $-256.11
(-2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 11:20am ET $67.42 179 $12,067.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 11:20am ET $66.66 179 $11,931.93 $11,938.22 $-135.36
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 11:40am ET $66.78 178 $11,886.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 11:40am ET $68.79 178 $12,243.73 $12,295.43 +$357.21
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $70.76 173 $12,241.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $77.50 173 $13,407.50 $13,461.85 +$1,166.42
(+9.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $77.98 172 $13,412.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $74.72 172 $12,851.84 $12,901.13 $-560.72
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $73.94 174 $12,865.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $78.43 174 $13,645.95 $13,681.52 +$780.39
(+6.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET $80.56 169 $13,613.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $87.00 169 $14,703.00 $14,770.71 +$1,089.19
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
15 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $118.42 124 $14,684.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $127.99 124 $15,870.14 $15,956.77 +$1,186.06
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
16 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $118.42 124 $14,684.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:20am ET $128.08 124 $15,881.92 $17,154.61 +$1,197.84
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $123.61 138 $17,058.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $118.52 138 $16,355.76 $16,451.50 $-703.11
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,451.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,451.50
Total Return: +64.52%
Back to Victor Calm Spike