Compendium › Victor Fear Dipper › ARM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARM
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Fear Dipper's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:00:00+00 to 2026-05-08 19:55:00+00 • 13 trades executed

+51.52%
2 Years Return
$15,151.57
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 01:23:33

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.4
Active
⛈️ 3 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
5.5/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 65.7/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 43.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
69,364
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$15,151.57
Total P&L
$5,151.57
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+12.14%
Worst Trade
-4.25%
Avg Trade Return
+3.51%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$303,987.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,151.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,151.57
Gross Return
+51.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+51.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fear Dipper had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $101.48 98 $9,945.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 11:35am ET $110.71 98 $10,849.58 $10,904.54 +$904.54
(+9.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:10pm ET $143.70 75 $10,777.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET $137.59 75 $10,319.25 $10,446.07 $-458.47
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $115.90 90 $10,431.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 10:30am ET $111.21 90 $10,008.90 $10,023.97 $-422.10
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $101.70 98 $9,966.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 2:10pm ET $97.56 98 $9,560.88 $9,618.25 $-405.72
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $82.99 115 $9,543.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $91.50 115 $10,521.93 $10,596.33 +$978.08
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:20pm ET $85.73 123 $10,544.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $94.44 123 $11,616.12 $11,667.66 +$1,071.33
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $98.99 117 $11,581.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $108.09 117 $12,646.53 $12,732.36 +$1,064.70
(+9.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $100.52 126 $12,665.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 11:35am ET $96.45 126 $12,152.70 $12,219.54 $-512.82
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 3:30pm ET $99.24 123 $12,205.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $108.09 123 $13,295.12 $13,308.75 +$1,089.21
(+8.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $132.22 100 $13,222.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $126.92 100 $12,692.00 $12,778.75 $-530.00
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $119.88 106 $12,706.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:55am ET $115.06 106 $12,196.36 $12,268.36 $-510.39
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $132.29 92 $12,170.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $148.35 92 $13,648.66 $13,746.34 +$1,477.98
(+12.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $146.84 93 $13,656.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $161.95 93 $15,061.35 $15,151.57 +$1,405.23
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,151.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,151.57
Total Return: +51.52%
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