Compendium › Victor Fear Dipper › DIA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIA
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Fear Dipper's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:00:00+00 to 2026-05-08 19:55:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+18.14%
2 Years Return
$11,814.36
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 00:21:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.4
Active
⛈️ 3 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
54.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
69.6/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 47.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
62,381
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,814.36
Total P&L
$1,814.36
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.58

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+8.09%
Worst Trade
-4.17%
Avg Trade Return
+2.57%
Avg Hold Time
15.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$147,050.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,814.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,814.36
Gross Return
+18.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fear Dipper had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $386.99 25 $9,674.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2024 9:35am ET $413.44 25 $10,336.00 $10,661.25 +$661.25
(+6.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:45pm ET $426.20 25 $10,655.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 3:45pm ET $425.89 25 $10,647.25 $10,653.50 $-7.75
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $423.94 25 $10,598.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $413.00 25 $10,325.00 $10,380.13 $-273.38
(-2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $411.06 25 $10,276.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:40am ET $393.91 25 $9,847.75 $9,951.38 $-428.75
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $374.58 26 $9,739.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:30pm ET $404.87 26 $10,526.62 $10,738.92 +$787.54
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $392.48 27 $10,596.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:45pm ET $409.68 27 $11,061.36 $11,203.32 +$464.40
(+4.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:00pm ET $461.55 24 $11,077.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 12:00pm ET $487.01 24 $11,688.24 $11,814.36 +$611.05
(+5.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,814.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,814.36
Total Return: +18.14%
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