Compendium › Victor Fear Dipper › SPY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPY
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Fear Dipper's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:00:00+00 to 2026-05-08 19:55:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+28.12%
2 Years Return
$12,811.98
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 00:23:06

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.4
Active
⛈️ 3 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

66
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
87.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
90.7/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 65.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
87,005
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,811.98
Total P&L
$2,811.98
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.84

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+8.14%
Worst Trade
-4.33%
Avg Trade Return
+3.80%
Avg Hold Time
13.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$153,313.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,811.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,811.98
Gross Return
+28.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fear Dipper had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $512.23 19 $9,732.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 3:30pm ET $553.23 19 $10,511.28 $10,778.91 +$778.91
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:45pm ET $589.88 18 $10,617.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 3:45pm ET $588.92 18 $10,600.56 $10,761.63 $-17.28
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $547.51 19 $10,402.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $523.83 19 $9,952.77 $10,311.71 $-449.92
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $496.82 20 $9,936.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 2:20pm ET $537.26 20 $10,745.20 $11,120.61 +$808.90
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $519.93 21 $10,918.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 10:20am ET $561.72 21 $11,796.12 $11,998.20 +$877.59
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 12:35pm ET $660.50 18 $11,889.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:35am ET $670.06 18 $12,061.08 $12,170.28 +$172.08
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $653.01 18 $11,754.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $688.66 18 $12,395.88 $12,811.98 +$641.70
(+5.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,811.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,811.98
Total Return: +28.12%
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