Compendium › Victor Panic Surge › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Panic Surge's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+30.51%
2 Years Return
$13,051.29
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,622
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$13,051.29
Total P&L
$3,051.29
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.67

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+12.46%
Worst Trade
-6.06%
Avg Trade Return
+4.83%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$136,282.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,051.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,051.29
Gross Return
+30.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Panic Surge had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $94.04 106 $9,968.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 11:15am ET $101.57 106 $10,766.42 $10,798.18 +$798.18
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $104.81 103 $10,795.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $98.46 103 $10,140.87 $10,143.62 $-654.57
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $88.22 114 $10,057.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $99.21 114 $11,309.94 $11,396.48 +$1,252.86
(+12.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.71 117 $11,315.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $106.99 117 $12,517.25 $12,598.65 +$1,202.18
(+10.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $110.59 113 $12,496.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $105.80 113 $11,955.40 $12,057.38 $-541.27
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $99.04 121 $11,983.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 9:30am ET $107.25 121 $12,977.25 $13,051.29 +$993.91
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,051.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,051.29
Total Return: +30.51%
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