Compendium › Victor Panic Surge › PANW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PANW
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Panic Surge's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:10:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+24.11%
2 Years Return
$12,410.73
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:53:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,788
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
532 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,410.73
Total P&L
$2,410.72
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.65

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+8.19%
Worst Trade
-4.98%
Avg Trade Return
+3.87%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$132,793.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,410.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,410.72
Gross Return
+24.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 532 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Panic Surge had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $146.41 68 $9,955.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 2:10pm ET $158.15 68 $10,754.20 $10,798.49 +$798.49
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $167.25 64 $10,704.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $158.92 64 $10,170.56 $10,265.05 $-533.44
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $148.15 69 $10,222.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 10:10am ET $160.07 69 $11,044.83 $11,087.88 +$822.82
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:00pm ET $157.24 70 $11,006.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 2:00pm ET $170.11 70 $11,907.70 $11,989.13 +$901.25
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $168.56 71 $11,967.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 10:00am ET $161.50 71 $11,466.15 $11,487.51 $-501.62
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 11:55am ET $164.29 69 $11,335.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 10:05am ET $177.67 69 $12,258.89 $12,410.73 +$923.22
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,410.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,410.73
Total Return: +24.11%
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