Compendium › Victor Panic Surge › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Panic Surge's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+38.07%
2 Years Return
$13,807.38
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:52:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
83,634
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$13,807.38
Total P&L
$3,807.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.75

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+15.01%
Worst Trade
-5.23%
Avg Trade Return
+5.82%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$142,977.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,807.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,807.39
Gross Return
+38.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Panic Surge had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $7.57 1,321 $9,999.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 10:00am ET $8.34 1,321 $11,017.40 $11,018.36 +$1,018.36
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $7.42 1,485 $11,011.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $7.03 1,485 $10,435.84 $10,442.92 $-575.44
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $6.63 1,575 $10,442.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $7.63 1,575 $12,009.38 $12,010.05 +$1,567.13
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:40pm ET $6.32 1,901 $12,005.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET $7.03 1,901 $13,354.53 $13,359.57 +$1,349.52
(+11.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $6.82 1,958 $13,353.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2025 2:15pm ET $6.52 1,958 $12,768.31 $12,774.12 $-585.44
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 3:50pm ET $6.31 2,026 $12,773.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 9:40am ET $6.82 2,026 $13,807.19 $13,807.38 +$1,033.26
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,807.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,807.38
Total Return: +38.07%
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