Compendium › Victor Trend Rider › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Trend Rider's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 3 trades in period

+12.45%
Last Year Return
$21,515.85
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$19,133.22
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:48:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Apr 28, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 49%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
10.7/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 78.2/100
× Confidence 0.49 = 37.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (49%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,876
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$19,133.22
Current Value
$21,515.85
Period P&L
$2,382.64
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.70

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+8.68%
Worst Trade
-4.27%
Avg Trade Return
+4.17%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$121,939.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,382.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,382.64
Gross Return
+12.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Trend Rider had $19,133.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:45am ET $32.39 590 $19,110.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $35.20 590 $20,769.48 $20,792.58 +$1,659.38
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $55.43 375 $20,786.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:50am ET $53.07 375 $19,899.38 $19,905.71 $-886.88
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $53.59 371 $19,881.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET $57.93 371 $21,492.03 $21,515.85 +$1,610.14
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,515.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,515.85
Total Return: +115.16%
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