Compendium › Victor Vol Seeker › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Vol Seeker's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 4 trades in period

+24.54%
Last Year Return
$17,623.61
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$14,150.73
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 08:49:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
15.0/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 89.4/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 55.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,079
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,150.73
Current Value
$17,623.61
Period P&L
$3,472.88
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.57

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+10.98%
Worst Trade
-0.45%
Avg Trade Return
+6.77%
Avg Hold Time
15.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,750.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,472.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,472.88
Gross Return
+24.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Vol Seeker had $14,150.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 12:25pm ET $266.58 51 $13,595.33 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $295.84 51 $15,087.84 $15,111.06 +$1,492.52
(+11.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 3:20pm ET $320.94 47 $15,084.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 2:50pm ET $347.00 47 $16,309.00 $16,335.88 +$1,224.82
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $351.72 46 $16,179.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:35am ET $381.41 46 $17,544.86 $17,701.62 +$1,365.74
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $301.96 58 $17,513.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $300.62 58 $17,435.96 $17,623.61 $-78.01
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,623.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,623.61
Total Return: +76.24%
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