Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:30:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-24.4%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,247
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
33 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,288.06
Current Value
$1,126.17
Period P&L
$-431.43
Max Drawdown
-89.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.46

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+8.60%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
-2.19%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$29,670.12
Estimated Fees
$74.18
Gross P&L
$-431.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-505.61
Gross Return
-33.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-39.25%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 33 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $1,288.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $2,108.00 1 $1,488.82
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 3:50am ET $2,015.70 1 $1,423.63 $1,423.63 $-72.47
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 9:00am ET $2,032.96 1 $1,423.63
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,941.80 1 $1,359.79 $1,359.79 $-70.80
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $1,913.91 1 $1,359.79
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:30pm ET $1,835.61 1 $1,304.16 $1,304.16 $-62.29
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:00am ET $1,860.98 1 $1,304.16
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 4:45pm ET $1,786.33 1 $1,251.85 $1,251.85 $-58.70
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 4:55pm ET $1,779.27 1 $1,251.85
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:40am ET $1,698.13 1 $1,194.76 $1,194.76 $-63.20
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:30am ET $1,645.12 1 $1,194.76
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $1,577.14 1 $1,145.39 $1,145.39 $-55.22
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,587.38 1 $1,145.39
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:35am ET $1,520.94 1 $1,097.45 $1,097.45 $-53.55
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,554.68 1 $1,097.45
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $1,688.36 1 $1,191.81 $1,191.81 +$88.64
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 11:10pm ET $1,691.40 1 $1,191.81
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,622.99 1 $1,143.61 $1,143.61 $-54.04
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 8:05am ET $1,622.38 1 $1,143.61
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 7:25am ET $1,754.54 1 $1,236.77 $1,236.77 +$87.21
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $1,831.69 1 $1,236.77
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 8:25am ET $1,745.17 1 $1,178.35 $1,178.35 $-64.46
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 8:35am ET $1,749.08 1 $1,178.35
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,671.62 1 $1,126.17 $1,126.17 $-57.95
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,126.17
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,873.83
Total Return: -88.74%
Back to Victor Volume