Compendium › Victor Volume › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-20 to present • 3 trades in period

+13.50%
Last Month Return
$25,059.26
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$22,077.95
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:29:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.7/35
Total Return
18.1/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
6.9/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 69.5/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 61.6

30-Day Momentum

36
+12.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$22,077.95
Current Value
$25,059.26
Period P&L
$2,981.30
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.70

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+8.18%
Worst Trade
-4.12%
Avg Trade Return
+4.05%
Avg Hold Time
9.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$141,590.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,981.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,981.30
Gross Return
+13.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $22,077.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $193.05 115 $22,200.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:05am ET $208.85 115 $24,017.75 $24,189.36 +$1,817.00
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $215.94 112 $24,185.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $207.04 112 $23,188.48 $23,192.56 $-996.80
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $209.69 110 $23,065.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET $226.66 110 $24,932.60 $25,059.26 +$1,866.70
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,059.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,059.26
Total Return: +150.59%
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