Compendium › Victor Volume › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 22 trades in period

+2.14%
Last Year Return
$10,598.89
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,376.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
7.0/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 17.0/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 14.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-13.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,586
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,376.98
Current Value
$10,598.89
Period P&L
$221.91
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
11 / 11
Best Trade
+8.72%
Worst Trade
-6.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
15.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$496,896.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$221.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$221.91
Gross Return
+2.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,376.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $272.32 37 $10,075.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 1:20pm ET $275.29 37 $10,185.73 $10,296.95 +$109.89
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 2:40pm ET $271.73 37 $10,054.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 2:40pm ET $291.53 37 $10,786.61 $11,029.55 +$732.60
(+7.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $287.49 38 $10,924.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 2:30pm ET $275.64 38 $10,474.50 $10,579.33 $-450.22
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 3:35pm ET $279.45 37 $10,339.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 3:35pm ET $292.76 37 $10,832.12 $11,071.80 +$492.47
(+4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 3:35pm ET $298.99 37 $11,062.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 9:35am ET $286.90 37 $10,615.30 $10,624.47 $-447.33
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 2:10pm ET $284.94 37 $10,542.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 2:10pm ET $285.21 37 $10,552.92 $10,634.61 +$10.14
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $287.04 37 $10,620.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 12:35pm ET $275.47 37 $10,192.39 $10,206.71 $-427.91
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 1:20pm ET $281.85 36 $10,146.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:05am ET $270.47 36 $9,736.74 $9,796.85 $-409.86
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $273.95 35 $9,588.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:35am ET $296.10 35 $10,363.50 $10,572.10 +$775.25
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $297.53 35 $10,413.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $292.99 35 $10,254.65 $10,413.20 $-158.90
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $291.85 35 $10,214.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 10:55am ET $316.52 35 $11,078.29 $11,276.73 +$863.54
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 1:05pm ET $317.50 35 $11,112.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET $344.09 35 $12,043.15 $12,207.39 +$930.65
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET $333.38 36 $12,001.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:25am ET $333.51 36 $12,006.18 $12,211.89 +$4.50
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:10pm ET $321.96 37 $11,912.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:10pm ET $330.54 37 $12,229.98 $12,529.34 +$317.46
(+2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:25pm ET $329.43 38 $12,518.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $330.71 38 $12,566.98 $12,577.98 +$48.64
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $343.31 36 $12,359.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $373.23 36 $13,436.28 $13,655.10 +$1,077.12
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $377.71 36 $13,597.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $368.88 36 $13,279.50 $13,337.05 $-318.06
(-2.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $377.17 35 $13,200.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $361.84 35 $12,664.38 $12,800.48 $-536.57
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $370.11 34 $12,583.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $355.11 34 $12,073.74 $12,290.48 $-510.00
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $350.27 35 $12,259.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 35 $11,768.75 $11,799.95 $-490.53
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $349.52 33 $11,534.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $335.18 33 $11,060.94 $11,326.73 $-473.22
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $349.35 32 $11,179.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 32 $10,451.36 $10,598.89 $-727.84
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,598.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$598.89
Total Return: +5.99%
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