Compendium › Victor Volume › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 23 trades in period

+2.97%
Last Year Return
$14,604.15
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$14,182.47
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:11:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.8/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
4.5/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 35.8/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 28.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,660
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,182.47
Current Value
$14,604.15
Period P&L
$421.68
Max Drawdown
-16.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
11 / 12
Best Trade
+8.46%
Worst Trade
-8.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
12.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$705,419.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$421.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$421.68
Gross Return
+2.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $14,182.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 10:35am ET $247.54 57 $14,109.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:20am ET $267.61 57 $15,253.79 $15,339.03 +$1,144.01
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
2 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 1:20pm ET $268.65 57 $15,313.05 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $256.91 57 $14,643.87 $14,669.85 $-669.18
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $263.25 55 $14,478.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 11:35am ET $284.59 55 $15,652.46 $15,843.56 +$1,173.71
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 12:20pm ET $282.80 56 $15,836.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $285.70 56 $15,998.92 $16,005.96 +$162.40
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $284.10 56 $15,909.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $258.76 56 $14,490.28 $14,586.64 $-1,419.32
(-8.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 12:15pm ET $258.40 56 $14,470.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 10:45am ET $247.67 56 $13,869.52 $13,985.76 $-600.88
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 3:00pm ET $250.54 55 $13,779.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 10:25am ET $240.02 55 $13,200.83 $13,407.16 $-578.60
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 3:50pm ET $234.19 57 $13,348.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $241.15 57 $13,745.55 $13,803.88 +$396.72
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $244.03 56 $13,665.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 1:30pm ET $263.66 56 $14,764.68 $14,902.88 +$1,099.00
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $266.86 55 $14,677.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 1:15pm ET $288.30 55 $15,856.50 $16,082.08 +$1,179.20
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 1:15pm ET $281.83 57 $16,064.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 1:15pm ET $283.40 57 $16,153.80 $16,171.57 +$89.49
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $282.36 57 $16,094.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 11:40am ET $305.04 57 $17,387.16 $17,464.50 +$1,292.93
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 1:35pm ET $309.84 56 $17,351.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $296.42 56 $16,599.24 $16,712.70 $-751.80
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:20pm ET $304.15 54 $16,424.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET $291.56 54 $15,744.24 $16,032.84 $-679.86
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 1:45pm ET $290.14 55 $15,957.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET $314.68 55 $17,307.40 $17,382.54 +$1,349.70
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 3:50pm ET $311.19 55 $17,115.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:40am ET $298.12 55 $16,396.79 $16,663.87 $-718.66
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:45pm ET $301.38 55 $16,575.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $289.26 55 $15,909.30 $15,997.27 $-666.60
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $299.21 53 $15,857.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $293.73 53 $15,567.85 $15,707.26 $-290.02
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $295.41 53 $15,656.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $283.43 53 $15,021.79 $15,072.22 $-635.04
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $288.86 52 $15,020.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $294.26 52 $15,301.26 $15,353.01 +$280.80
(+1.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $260.23 58 $15,093.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:20am ET $249.75 58 $14,485.51 $14,745.18 $-607.83
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $241.85 60 $14,511.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:30am ET $250.01 60 $15,000.60 $15,234.78 +$489.60
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $241.17 63 $15,193.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $231.16 63 $14,563.08 $14,604.15 $-630.63
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,604.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,604.15
Total Return: +46.04%
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