Compendium › Victor Volume › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 25 trades in period

+4.56%
Last Year Return
$16,487.20
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$15,767.94
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.2/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 32.7/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 28.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,627
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$15,767.94
Current Value
$16,487.20
Period P&L
$719.24
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
11 / 14
Best Trade
+8.97%
Worst Trade
-12.95%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
10.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$727,586.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$719.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$719.24
Gross Return
+4.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,767.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 9:30am ET $825.24 19 $15,679.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 11:40am ET $790.00 19 $15,010.00 $15,147.80 $-669.56
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 9:30am ET $756.54 20 $15,130.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 10:05am ET $724.36 20 $14,487.20 $14,504.14 $-643.66
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $755.72 19 $14,358.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 11:20am ET $724.49 19 $13,765.26 $13,910.82 $-593.32
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $734.14 18 $13,214.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $765.97 18 $13,787.46 $14,483.76 +$572.94
(+4.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $770.01 18 $13,860.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $775.72 18 $13,962.96 $14,586.54 +$102.78
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET $779.84 18 $14,037.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET $770.24 18 $13,864.23 $14,413.66 $-172.88
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET $784.07 18 $14,113.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:55pm ET $750.49 18 $13,508.82 $13,809.22 $-604.44
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 2:10pm ET $759.54 18 $13,671.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET $661.20 18 $11,901.60 $12,039.10 $-1,770.12
(-12.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:20am ET $636.47 18 $11,456.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET $693.58 18 $12,484.44 $13,067.08 +$1,027.98
(+9.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET $698.06 18 $12,565.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET $726.65 18 $13,079.70 $13,581.70 +$514.62
(+4.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 3:45pm ET $749.03 18 $13,482.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 12:40pm ET $718.88 18 $12,939.84 $13,039.00 $-542.70
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 12:55pm ET $719.93 18 $12,958.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $779.65 18 $14,033.75 $14,114.09 +$1,075.10
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $832.38 16 $13,318.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $794.00 16 $12,704.00 $13,500.01 $-614.08
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 1:05pm ET $802.42 16 $12,838.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 2:35pm ET $867.07 16 $13,873.16 $14,534.45 +$1,034.44
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 3:00pm ET $900.21 16 $14,403.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:50am ET $976.57 16 $15,625.12 $15,756.24 +$1,221.79
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $989.99 15 $14,849.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 11:10am ET $1,071.30 15 $16,069.50 $16,975.89 +$1,219.65
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 12:10pm ET $1,103.10 15 $16,546.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET $1,058.18 15 $15,872.70 $16,302.09 $-673.80
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,045.37 15 $15,680.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $1,002.44 15 $15,036.60 $15,658.14 $-643.95
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $1,005.70 15 $15,085.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $1,072.70 15 $16,090.50 $16,663.10 +$1,004.95
(+6.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:45pm ET $1,076.03 15 $16,140.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $1,030.50 15 $15,457.43 $15,980.07 $-683.03
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:35am ET $1,047.52 15 $15,712.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,005.60 15 $15,084.00 $15,351.27 $-628.80
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,023.52 14 $14,329.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $1,107.35 14 $15,502.97 $16,524.96 +$1,173.69
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,020.40 16 $16,326.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,105.51 16 $17,688.16 $17,886.72 +$1,361.76
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $917.48 19 $17,432.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $878.51 19 $16,691.69 $17,146.29 $-740.43
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $956.82 17 $16,265.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:50pm ET $918.05 17 $15,606.85 $16,487.20 $-659.09
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,487.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,487.20
Total Return: +64.87%
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