Compendium › Victor Volume › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 18 trades in period

-7.72%
Last Year Return
$7,878.31
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$8,537.23
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:11:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,670
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,537.23
Current Value
$7,878.31
Period P&L
$-658.93
Max Drawdown
-22.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+5.18%
Worst Trade
-4.34%
Avg Trade Return
-0.52%
Avg Hold Time
18.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$293,554.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-658.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-658.93
Gross Return
-7.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,537.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $320.30 27 $8,648.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $307.43 27 $8,300.61 $8,385.22 $-347.49
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 12:25pm ET $309.28 27 $8,350.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 12:25pm ET $312.48 27 $8,436.96 $8,471.62 +$86.40
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 1:30pm ET $313.81 26 $8,158.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $301.14 26 $7,829.74 $8,142.43 $-329.19
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $301.63 26 $7,842.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 1:55pm ET $289.42 26 $7,524.92 $7,824.97 $-317.46
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 3:45pm ET $286.35 27 $7,731.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 3:45pm ET $299.99 27 $8,099.60 $8,193.11 +$368.15
(+4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $301.88 27 $8,150.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 3:45pm ET $304.72 27 $8,227.44 $8,269.79 +$76.68
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $298.99 27 $8,072.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $313.22 27 $8,456.81 $8,653.87 +$384.07
(+4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 1:10pm ET $311.41 27 $8,408.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 10:50am ET $298.83 27 $8,068.28 $8,314.07 $-339.80
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 12:10pm ET $302.07 27 $8,155.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 12:10pm ET $295.28 27 $7,972.60 $8,130.69 $-183.38
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 2:20pm ET $300.18 27 $8,104.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 1:20pm ET $296.45 27 $8,004.15 $8,030.12 $-100.58
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 1:45pm ET $298.70 26 $7,766.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:45pm ET $308.41 26 $8,018.66 $8,282.58 +$252.46
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 2:10pm ET $311.77 26 $8,106.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $317.85 26 $8,264.13 $8,440.69 +$158.11
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $320.76 26 $8,339.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $306.85 26 $7,978.10 $8,079.03 $-361.66
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $305.64 26 $7,946.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.61 26 $7,945.86 $8,078.25 $-0.78
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $309.28 26 $8,041.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $325.30 26 $8,457.93 $8,495.03 +$416.78
(+5.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
17.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $325.70 26 $8,468.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $328.18 26 $8,532.68 $8,559.38 +$64.35
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $324.79 26 $8,444.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 12:45pm ET $311.42 26 $8,097.05 $8,211.89 $-347.49
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $325.70 26 $8,468.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $312.88 26 $8,134.75 $7,878.31 $-333.58
(-3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
33.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,878.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,121.69
Total Return: -21.22%
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