Compendium › Victor Volume › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 24 trades in period

+20.66%
Last Year Return
$8,427.78
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$6,984.93
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 6.4/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 5.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,396
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$6,984.93
Current Value
$8,427.78
Period P&L
$1,442.83
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
12 / 12
Best Trade
+9.48%
Worst Trade
-4.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.82%
Avg Hold Time
12.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$357,387.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,442.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,442.83
Gross Return
+20.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $6,984.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 3:40pm ET $84.59 84 $7,105.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 9:45am ET $80.98 84 $6,802.32 $6,856.43 $-303.24
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $79.09 86 $6,801.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 3:50pm ET $75.89 86 $6,526.54 $6,581.23 $-275.20
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $80.45 81 $6,516.45 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:55am ET $77.22 81 $6,254.82 $6,319.60 $-261.63
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
4 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 3:05pm ET $73.92 85 $6,282.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 3:05pm ET $78.39 85 $6,663.15 $6,699.98 +$380.38
(+6.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 3:40pm ET $77.83 86 $6,693.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:40pm ET $78.43 86 $6,744.98 $6,751.58 +$51.60
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 3:40pm ET $78.61 85 $6,681.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 3:40pm ET $80.05 85 $6,804.25 $6,873.98 +$122.40
(+1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $79.34 86 $6,823.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $80.05 86 $6,884.30 $6,935.04 +$61.06
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $80.29 86 $6,904.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 10:50am ET $86.72 86 $7,457.92 $7,488.02 +$552.98
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 3:00pm ET $87.01 86 $7,482.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 9:35am ET $83.42 86 $7,174.12 $7,179.71 $-308.31
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $84.14 85 $7,151.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 10:30am ET $80.74 85 $6,862.48 $6,890.28 $-289.43
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $81.86 84 $6,876.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:25am ET $78.54 84 $6,597.44 $6,611.48 $-278.80
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $78.47 84 $6,591.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $85.90 84 $7,215.60 $7,236.02 +$624.54
(+9.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 3:20pm ET $89.27 81 $7,230.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 9:45am ET $85.55 81 $6,929.55 $6,934.70 $-301.32
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $85.01 81 $6,885.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 2:50pm ET $83.67 81 $6,777.59 $6,826.48 $-108.22
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $84.55 80 $6,763.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $92.15 80 $7,372.00 $7,434.56 +$608.08
(+9.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $91.84 80 $7,347.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:15pm ET $99.23 80 $7,938.00 $8,025.36 +$590.80
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $100.84 79 $7,966.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:25am ET $96.71 79 $7,640.09 $7,699.09 $-326.27
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:55pm ET $97.49 78 $7,604.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $105.96 78 $8,264.49 $8,359.36 +$660.27
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:20pm ET $106.45 78 $8,303.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $109.25 78 $8,521.11 $8,577.37 +$218.01
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $109.53 78 $8,543.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $118.82 78 $9,268.35 $9,302.38 +$725.01
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $120.77 77 $9,299.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $117.09 77 $9,015.93 $9,019.02 $-283.36
(-3.0%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $121.30 74 $8,976.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $116.34 74 $8,609.20 $8,652.02 $-367.00
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $117.18 73 $8,554.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $119.06 73 $8,691.02 $8,788.90 +$136.88
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $117.21 74 $8,673.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $112.33 74 $8,312.42 $8,427.78 $-361.12
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,427.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,572.22
Total Return: -15.72%
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