MRNA Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 56 trades in period
+38.94%
Last Year Return
$5,463.48
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$3,932.34
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
5.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.9
30-Day Momentum
0
-0.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,410
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$3,932.34
Current Value
$5,463.48
Period P&L
$1,531.11
Max Drawdown
-73.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
23 /
33
Best Trade
+10.23%
Worst Trade
-5.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.84%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$613,471.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,531.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,531.11
Gross Return
+38.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.94%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $3,932.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 12:45pm ET | $26.96 | 141 | $3,801.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 12:50pm ET | $25.66 | 141 | $3,617.36 | $3,628.53 |
$-184.01 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 2:30pm ET | $24.20 | 149 | $3,605.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.68 | 149 | $3,974.58 | $3,997.31 |
+$368.78 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $28.66 | 139 | $3,983.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.48 | 139 | $3,819.19 | $3,832.76 |
$-164.55 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.58 | 149 | $3,811.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 10:20am ET | $27.72 | 149 | $4,130.28 | $4,151.68 |
+$318.92 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 1:05pm ET | $26.55 | 156 | $4,141.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.69 | 156 | $4,475.64 | $4,485.52 |
+$333.84 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $27.68 | 162 | $4,484.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 1:10pm ET | $26.53 | 162 | $4,298.57 | $4,299.93 |
$-185.59 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 2:10pm ET | $25.91 | 165 | $4,275.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 12:40pm ET | $27.99 | 165 | $4,618.35 | $4,643.13 |
+$343.20 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 1:50pm ET | $27.07 | 171 | $4,628.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:50am ET | $29.30 | 171 | $5,009.48 | $5,023.64 |
+$380.51 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 1:30pm ET | $30.36 | 165 | $5,009.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $32.84 | 165 | $5,418.60 | $5,432.84 |
+$409.20 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2025 3:25pm ET | $32.81 | 165 | $5,413.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 2:40pm ET | $31.48 | 165 | $5,194.17 | $5,213.36 |
$-219.48 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $32.07 | 162 | $5,195.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 10:05am ET | $34.90 | 162 | $5,653.82 | $5,671.84 |
+$458.48 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 11:25am ET | $34.37 | 165 | $5,671.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $32.90 | 165 | $5,427.68 | $5,428.39 |
$-243.44 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 2:20pm ET | $32.67 | 166 | $5,423.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 10:00am ET | $31.31 | 166 | $5,196.63 | $5,201.80 |
$-226.59 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 2:00pm ET | $27.14 | 191 | $5,183.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $25.98 | 191 | $4,961.23 | $4,979.29 |
$-222.52 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 3:30pm ET | $25.48 | 195 | $4,967.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 9:50am ET | $27.76 | 195 | $5,413.20 | $5,424.86 |
+$445.58 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 3:10pm ET | $28.21 | 192 | $5,416.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 10:25am ET | $27.00 | 192 | $5,184.00 | $5,192.54 |
$-232.32 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 1:40pm ET | $26.40 | 196 | $5,173.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 10:15am ET | $25.32 | 196 | $4,962.72 | $4,981.84 |
$-210.70 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 12:35pm ET | $25.56 | 194 | $4,958.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 10:30am ET | $24.45 | 194 | $4,743.32 | $4,766.52 |
$-215.32 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 12:20pm ET | $24.10 | 197 | $4,747.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 12:20pm ET | $25.31 | 197 | $4,985.09 | $5,003.91 |
+$237.39 (+5.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 3:50pm ET | $26.59 | 188 | $4,997.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.34 | 188 | $4,763.92 | $4,769.85 |
$-234.06 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 3:00pm ET | $24.47 | 194 | $4,746.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.57 | 194 | $5,154.58 | $5,178.22 |
+$408.37 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 12:45pm ET | $27.19 | 190 | $5,166.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 11:55am ET | $29.38 | 190 | $5,581.86 | $5,593.98 |
+$415.76 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 3:20pm ET | $27.55 | 203 | $5,591.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 1:05pm ET | $26.40 | 203 | $5,359.20 | $5,361.54 |
$-232.44 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 2:40pm ET | $27.07 | 198 | $5,358.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 1:25pm ET | $25.96 | 198 | $5,139.88 | $5,142.55 |
$-218.99 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $27.23 | 188 | $5,119.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $25.93 | 188 | $4,874.84 | $4,898.15 |
$-244.40 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $26.86 | 182 | $4,887.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 2:35pm ET | $25.76 | 182 | $4,687.41 | $4,697.95 |
$-200.20 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 2:40pm ET | $24.51 | 191 | $4,680.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 11:15am ET | $26.72 | 191 | $5,103.54 | $5,121.04 |
+$423.08 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 1:35pm ET | $27.38 | 187 | $5,119.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $26.19 | 187 | $4,897.53 | $4,899.44 |
$-221.60 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 1:40pm ET | $23.96 | 204 | $4,886.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 1:15pm ET | $25.92 | 204 | $5,287.68 | $5,300.30 |
+$400.86 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 1:35pm ET | $26.60 | 199 | $5,292.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $25.53 | 199 | $5,080.47 | $5,087.89 |
$-212.41 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:50pm ET | $24.70 | 205 | $5,063.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $23.64 | 205 | $4,846.20 | $4,870.59 |
$-217.30 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:05pm ET | $23.91 | 203 | $4,853.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:50pm ET | $25.87 | 203 | $5,251.61 | $5,268.47 |
+$397.88 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 2:45pm ET | $24.33 | 216 | $5,255.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:45am ET | $26.40 | 216 | $5,702.40 | $5,715.59 |
+$447.12 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 2:55pm ET | $27.64 | 206 | $5,694.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $29.87 | 206 | $6,153.34 | $6,174.15 |
+$458.56 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 12:55pm ET | $29.66 | 208 | $6,169.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 11:45am ET | $32.04 | 208 | $6,663.28 | $6,668.15 |
+$494.00 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:40pm ET | $33.69 | 197 | $6,635.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:25pm ET | $32.25 | 197 | $6,352.27 | $6,384.47 |
$-283.68 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:40pm ET | $31.18 | 204 | $6,360.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 11:05am ET | $29.82 | 204 | $6,083.28 | $6,107.03 |
$-277.44 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $30.95 | 197 | $6,097.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.70 | 197 | $6,638.90 | $6,648.78 |
+$541.75 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.74 | 191 | $6,635.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $33.28 | 191 | $6,356.48 | $6,369.92 |
$-278.86 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $35.89 | 177 | $6,351.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $38.76 | 177 | $6,860.52 | $6,878.79 |
+$508.88 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $40.53 | 169 | $6,849.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.38 | 169 | $7,499.38 | $7,528.93 |
+$650.14 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.04 | 147 | $7,502.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.01 | 147 | $7,057.47 | $7,083.67 |
$-445.26 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:15pm ET | $47.73 | 148 | $7,064.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $45.72 | 148 | $6,766.56 | $6,785.95 |
$-297.72 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:30pm ET | $44.90 | 151 | $6,779.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.48 | 151 | $6,414.48 | $6,420.53 |
$-365.42 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.74 | 146 | $6,386.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $41.75 | 146 | $6,095.50 | $6,129.99 |
$-290.54 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $43.00 | 142 | $6,106.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $41.17 | 142 | $5,846.14 | $5,870.13 |
$-259.86 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $40.40 | 145 | $5,858.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $43.81 | 145 | $6,351.73 | $6,363.86 |
+$493.72 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $49.77 | 127 | $6,320.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $53.85 | 127 | $6,839.58 | $6,882.65 |
+$518.79 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $54.36 | 126 | $6,849.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.40 | 126 | $6,475.77 | $6,508.96 |
$-373.69 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $52.99 | 122 | $6,464.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $50.76 | 122 | $6,192.99 | $6,237.17 |
$-271.79 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $55.17 | 113 | $6,234.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.66 | 113 | $5,950.58 | $5,952.97 |
$-284.19 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.96 | 112 | $5,931.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:30pm ET | $50.80 | 112 | $5,689.60 | $5,710.68 |
$-242.29 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.07 | 107 | $5,678.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $50.84 | 107 | $5,439.88 | $5,472.26 |
$-238.42 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $49.40 | 110 | $5,434.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.76 | 110 | $5,913.60 | $5,951.86 |
+$479.60 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.64 | 106 | $5,897.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $53.23 | 106 | $5,642.38 | $5,696.40 |
$-255.46 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $47.07 | 121 | $5,695.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $45.15 | 121 | $5,462.55 | $5,463.48 |
$-232.92 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,463.48
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,536.52
Total Return:
-45.37%