RIVN Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 52 trades in period
-50.95%
Last Year Return
$2,389.69
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$4,872.33
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality
3.2/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 2.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,924
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$4,872.33
Current Value
$2,389.69
Period P&L
$-2,482.64
Max Drawdown
-78.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
13 /
39
Best Trade
+9.61%
Worst Trade
-8.65%
Avg Trade Return
-1.18%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$361,036.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,482.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,482.64
Gross Return
-50.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-50.95%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $4,872.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2025 1:45pm ET | $13.28 | 361 | $4,792.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $12.71 | 361 | $4,588.31 | $4,601.58 |
$-203.97 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 12:45pm ET | $13.67 | 336 | $4,593.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.82 | 336 | $4,977.84 | $4,986.30 |
+$384.72 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.98 | 332 | $4,973.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $14.35 | 332 | $4,764.20 | $4,777.14 |
$-209.16 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $15.29 | 312 | $4,770.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $16.76 | 312 | $5,229.12 | $5,235.78 |
+$458.64 (+9.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:30pm ET | $16.40 | 319 | $5,230.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.57 | 319 | $4,966.83 | $4,971.81 |
$-263.97 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:45am ET | $15.22 | 326 | $4,961.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 12:30pm ET | $14.59 | 326 | $4,756.34 | $4,766.76 |
$-205.05 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 3:35pm ET | $14.03 | 339 | $4,754.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 10:20am ET | $13.46 | 339 | $4,562.97 | $4,575.26 |
$-191.50 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 2:25pm ET | $13.88 | 329 | $4,566.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.28 | 329 | $4,367.48 | $4,376.44 |
$-198.81 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 9:40am ET | $13.16 | 332 | $4,367.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 10:25am ET | $12.61 | 332 | $4,186.52 | $4,195.50 |
$-180.94 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 1:45pm ET | $13.30 | 315 | $4,187.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.71 | 315 | $4,002.08 | $4,009.65 |
$-185.85 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.89 | 311 | $4,008.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $12.37 | 311 | $3,847.07 | $3,847.93 |
$-161.72 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 11:35am ET | $13.44 | 286 | $3,844.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $12.89 | 286 | $3,686.54 | $3,690.35 |
$-157.59 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 3:05pm ET | $13.65 | 270 | $3,684.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 3:50pm ET | $13.08 | 270 | $3,530.25 | $3,536.45 |
$-153.90 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $13.04 | 271 | $3,533.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $12.51 | 271 | $3,388.86 | $3,391.46 |
$-144.99 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 2:55pm ET | $12.43 | 272 | $3,379.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 10:20am ET | $11.83 | 272 | $3,217.08 | $3,228.94 |
$-162.52 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 1:25pm ET | $11.88 | 271 | $3,219.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 12:40pm ET | $12.85 | 271 | $3,481.00 | $3,490.46 |
+$261.52 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 3:50pm ET | $13.15 | 265 | $3,483.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $14.26 | 265 | $3,777.58 | $3,784.61 |
+$294.15 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $13.75 | 275 | $3,782.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 11:40am ET | $13.18 | 275 | $3,623.13 | $3,625.55 |
$-159.06 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 12:40pm ET | $13.62 | 266 | $3,622.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 2:10pm ET | $14.74 | 266 | $3,920.87 | $3,923.49 |
+$297.95 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $14.42 | 272 | $3,920.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 12:45pm ET | $15.58 | 272 | $4,238.28 | $4,240.89 |
+$317.40 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 11:40am ET | $15.99 | 265 | $4,236.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $15.16 | 265 | $4,016.08 | $4,020.94 |
$-219.95 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 12:00pm ET | $14.73 | 272 | $4,007.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.46 | 272 | $3,661.12 | $3,674.47 |
$-346.47 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $13.67 | 268 | $3,663.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 12:40pm ET | $13.12 | 268 | $3,516.16 | $3,527.07 |
$-147.40 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $13.10 | 269 | $3,523.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $12.99 | 269 | $3,494.31 | $3,497.48 |
$-29.59 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $13.59 | 257 | $3,492.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.69 | 257 | $3,260.05 | $3,264.89 |
$-232.59 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $13.41 | 243 | $3,257.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 11:35am ET | $14.50 | 243 | $3,522.29 | $3,529.76 |
+$264.87 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 12:30pm ET | $14.70 | 240 | $3,528.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 11:40am ET | $15.94 | 240 | $3,824.40 | $3,826.16 |
+$296.40 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 2:10pm ET | $17.54 | 218 | $3,822.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $16.80 | 218 | $3,661.33 | $3,664.86 |
$-161.30 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 3:50pm ET | $14.85 | 246 | $3,651.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $14.22 | 246 | $3,496.91 | $3,509.88 |
$-154.98 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:15pm ET | $14.95 | 234 | $3,497.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET | $16.18 | 234 | $3,784.95 | $3,797.70 |
+$287.82 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:55am ET | $17.40 | 218 | $3,793.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:45am ET | $16.69 | 218 | $3,638.42 | $3,642.36 |
$-155.35 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:45am ET | $18.48 | 197 | $3,639.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 2:15pm ET | $17.74 | 197 | $3,493.80 | $3,496.58 |
$-145.78 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 2:55pm ET | $17.95 | 194 | $3,481.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:15pm ET | $19.43 | 194 | $3,768.45 | $3,783.70 |
+$287.12 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $22.54 | 167 | $3,764.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $21.46 | 167 | $3,583.82 | $3,603.34 |
$-180.36 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:55pm ET | $21.15 | 170 | $3,594.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $20.23 | 170 | $3,439.10 | $3,447.79 |
$-155.55 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.99 | 172 | $3,437.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $19.17 | 172 | $3,297.24 | $3,307.61 |
$-140.18 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $19.74 | 167 | $3,296.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $18.89 | 167 | $3,154.63 | $3,165.66 |
$-141.95 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $20.05 | 157 | $3,147.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $19.24 | 157 | $3,019.90 | $3,038.49 |
$-127.17 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $19.18 | 158 | $3,029.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.88 | 158 | $2,824.25 | $2,833.09 |
$-205.40 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $17.20 | 164 | $2,819.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.95 | 164 | $2,614.98 | $2,628.09 |
$-205.00 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $16.34 | 160 | $2,613.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.68 | 160 | $2,508.80 | $2,523.29 |
$-104.80 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $15.24 | 165 | $2,514.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $14.63 | 165 | $2,413.13 | $2,421.81 |
$-101.48 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $14.70 | 164 | $2,410.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET | $14.10 | 164 | $2,312.40 | $2,323.39 |
$-98.42 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:00pm ET | $14.49 | 160 | $2,318.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $13.89 | 160 | $2,222.40 | $2,227.39 |
$-96.00 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $14.96 | 148 | $2,214.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $14.35 | 148 | $2,124.54 | $2,137.35 |
$-90.04 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $15.45 | 138 | $2,132.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $15.32 | 138 | $2,114.17 | $2,118.73 |
$-18.62 (-0.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.4h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.52 | 136 | $2,110.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $14.88 | 136 | $2,023.68 | $2,031.69 |
$-87.04 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.68 | 138 | $2,025.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $15.89 | 138 | $2,192.17 | $2,198.04 |
+$166.35 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.80 | 130 | $2,183.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $16.11 | 130 | $2,094.95 | $2,109.00 |
$-89.04 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $14.88 | 141 | $2,097.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $16.07 | 141 | $2,265.17 | $2,276.79 |
+$167.79 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:15pm ET | $15.62 | 145 | $2,264.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $17.09 | 145 | $2,478.77 | $2,490.66 |
+$213.87 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.57 | 159 | $2,476.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $14.94 | 159 | $2,375.46 | $2,389.69 |
$-100.97 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$2,389.69
Net Profit/Loss:
$-7,610.31
Total Return:
-76.10%