Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:14:58

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 10.2/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 7.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,008
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,607.75
Current Value
$9,696.23
Period P&L
$88.46
Max Drawdown
-11.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+4.50%
Worst Trade
-2.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
20.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$256,230.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$88.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$88.46
Gross Return
+0.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,607.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 3:20pm ET $86.19 110 $9,480.90
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $86.45 110 $9,508.95 $9,591.83 +$28.05
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 9:40am ET $85.54 112 $9,580.97
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 9:40am ET $86.44 112 $9,681.28 $9,692.13 +$100.31
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 1:25pm ET $86.77 111 $9,631.47
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 1:25pm ET $86.96 111 $9,652.01 $9,712.67 +$20.54
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $86.40 112 $9,676.81
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $90.29 112 $10,111.92 $10,147.78 +$435.11
(+4.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $90.22 112 $10,104.08
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $88.74 112 $9,938.88 $9,982.58 $-165.20
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $89.33 111 $9,915.80
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $91.98 111 $10,209.23 $10,276.01 +$293.43
(+3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 1:50pm ET $91.61 112 $10,260.32
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:50pm ET $89.13 112 $9,982.00 $9,997.69 $-278.32
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:30pm ET $89.24 112 $9,994.88
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:30pm ET $88.25 112 $9,884.39 $9,887.20 $-110.49
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:50pm ET $87.37 113 $9,872.81
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $87.11 113 $9,842.87 $9,857.25 $-29.95
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $87.48 112 $9,797.78
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $88.33 112 $9,892.42 $9,951.89 +$94.64
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.80 113 $9,921.40
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $88.46 113 $9,995.42 $10,025.91 +$74.02
(+0.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
13.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $89.89 111 $9,977.24
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $88.33 111 $9,805.18 $9,853.86 $-172.05
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $87.03 113 $9,834.39
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $85.64 113 $9,676.76 $9,696.23 $-157.63
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,696.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-303.77
Total Return: -3.04%
Back to Victor Volume