TQQQ Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 32 trades in period
+66.84%
Last Year Return
$13,954.19
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,363.57
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality
23.1/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 22.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
41,014
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,363.57
Current Value
$13,954.19
Period P&L
$5,590.61
Max Drawdown
-50.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
16 /
16
Best Trade
+15.09%
Worst Trade
-5.74%
Avg Trade Return
+1.73%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$834,538.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,590.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,590.61
Gross Return
+66.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+66.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,363.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $29.31 | 294 | $8,615.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 9:45am ET | $28.04 | 294 | $8,244.44 | $8,251.07 |
$-371.35 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 2:00pm ET | $28.17 | 292 | $8,225.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.42 | 292 | $9,466.99 | $9,492.57 |
+$1,241.50 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.49 | 283 | $9,477.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.19 | 283 | $10,240.78 | $10,255.68 |
+$763.11 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 12:35pm ET | $33.92 | 302 | $10,243.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 12:15pm ET | $36.70 | 302 | $11,083.40 | $11,095.24 |
+$839.56 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 3:40pm ET | $37.05 | 299 | $11,077.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 3:40pm ET | $39.13 | 299 | $11,698.49 | $11,715.78 |
+$620.54 (+5.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $40.36 | 290 | $11,702.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 1:55pm ET | $43.64 | 290 | $12,656.33 | $12,669.16 |
+$953.38 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 3:50pm ET | $43.38 | 292 | $12,665.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:45am ET | $41.36 | 292 | $12,077.85 | $12,081.51 |
$-587.65 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 1:45pm ET | $43.54 | 277 | $12,061.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 12:20pm ET | $47.03 | 277 | $13,027.95 | $13,047.85 |
+$966.34 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 2:10pm ET | $47.48 | 274 | $13,008.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 10:35am ET | $45.47 | 274 | $12,458.10 | $12,497.80 |
$-550.06 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 3:50pm ET | $43.98 | 284 | $12,491.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 11:50am ET | $42.20 | 284 | $11,983.38 | $11,990.15 |
$-507.65 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 1:45pm ET | $44.18 | 271 | $11,971.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $47.71 | 271 | $12,930.68 | $12,949.41 |
+$959.26 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 2:30pm ET | $48.52 | 266 | $12,907.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 2:15pm ET | $52.41 | 266 | $13,941.94 | $13,984.33 |
+$1,034.93 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $51.35 | 272 | $13,966.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $49.07 | 272 | $13,347.04 | $13,364.77 |
$-619.56 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 9:35am ET | $50.43 | 264 | $13,314.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $54.73 | 264 | $14,448.72 | $14,499.05 |
+$1,134.28 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:50pm ET | $51.72 | 280 | $14,481.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.38 | 280 | $13,826.40 | $13,843.85 |
$-655.20 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 1:15pm ET | $50.45 | 274 | $13,821.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.14 | 274 | $15,108.36 | $15,130.28 |
+$1,286.43 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $57.30 | 264 | $15,127.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $54.49 | 264 | $14,385.36 | $14,387.86 |
$-742.42 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET | $52.43 | 274 | $14,364.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.50 | 274 | $13,561.63 | $13,585.04 |
$-802.82 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.30 | 259 | $13,546.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:55pm ET | $50.20 | 259 | $13,001.80 | $13,040.41 |
$-544.63 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:50pm ET | $49.45 | 263 | $13,004.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET | $53.43 | 263 | $14,053.14 | $14,089.52 |
+$1,049.11 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET | $48.60 | 289 | $14,043.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.03 | 289 | $15,324.80 | $15,370.37 |
+$1,280.85 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $54.04 | 284 | $15,347.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $51.75 | 284 | $14,697.00 | $14,720.01 |
$-650.36 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.77 | 278 | $14,670.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.16 | 278 | $15,056.48 | $15,106.43 |
+$386.42 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.31 | 273 | $15,098.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $52.91 | 273 | $14,444.43 | $14,452.56 |
$-653.86 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $55.22 | 261 | $14,412.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.05 | 261 | $13,584.55 | $13,624.80 |
$-827.76 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.02 | 267 | $13,622.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $55.25 | 267 | $14,750.42 | $14,752.88 |
+$1,128.08 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $56.77 | 259 | $14,704.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $54.26 | 259 | $14,054.58 | $14,103.07 |
$-649.81 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $53.99 | 261 | $14,091.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $51.81 | 261 | $13,522.41 | $13,534.09 |
$-568.98 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $49.78 | 271 | $13,491.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.14 | 271 | $12,774.94 | $12,817.30 |
$-716.80 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $49.52 | 258 | $12,776.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $51.89 | 258 | $13,387.62 | $13,428.76 |
+$611.46 (+4.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.23 | 262 | $13,422.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $49.10 | 262 | $12,865.51 | $12,872.01 |
$-556.75 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $54.67 | 235 | $12,847.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $59.28 | 235 | $13,929.63 | $13,954.19 |
+$1,082.18 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,954.19
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,954.19
Total Return:
+39.54%