VXX Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 41 trades in period
-18.00%
Last Year Return
$12,354.58
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$15,067.11
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
18.6/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 18.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
34,674
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,067.11
Current Value
$12,354.58
Period P&L
$-2,712.58
Max Drawdown
-42.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
13 /
28
Best Trade
+11.92%
Worst Trade
-10.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$973,932.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,712.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,712.58
Gross Return
-18.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.00%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,067.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 3:15pm ET | $61.59 | 239 | $14,720.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.23 | 239 | $13,199.97 | $13,212.50 |
$-1,520.04 (-10.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 10:10am ET | $50.40 | 262 | $13,204.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET | $54.56 | 262 | $14,294.75 | $14,302.60 |
+$1,090.10 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $55.14 | 259 | $14,279.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $52.86 | 259 | $13,690.74 | $13,713.38 |
$-589.23 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $53.89 | 254 | $13,688.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 10:25am ET | $51.73 | 254 | $13,139.42 | $13,164.74 |
$-548.64 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $50.85 | 258 | $13,119.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $48.77 | 258 | $12,582.66 | $12,628.10 |
$-536.64 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 3:50pm ET | $51.17 | 246 | $12,587.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 2:30pm ET | $55.48 | 246 | $13,646.85 | $13,687.10 |
+$1,059.01 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 3:50pm ET | $51.49 | 265 | $13,644.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 12:35pm ET | $49.42 | 265 | $13,096.30 | $13,138.55 |
$-548.55 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 3:50pm ET | $48.62 | 270 | $13,127.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 12:25pm ET | $46.59 | 270 | $12,577.95 | $12,589.26 |
$-549.29 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2025 1:50pm ET | $45.58 | 276 | $12,580.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 12:00pm ET | $43.66 | 276 | $12,049.11 | $12,058.30 |
$-530.97 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 12:25pm ET | $42.65 | 282 | $12,027.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.64 | 282 | $11,459.07 | $11,490.07 |
$-568.23 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.96 | 273 | $11,453.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:45am ET | $45.67 | 273 | $12,467.91 | $12,504.26 |
+$1,014.20 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 1:20pm ET | $43.40 | 288 | $12,499.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.30 | 288 | $11,892.96 | $11,898.02 |
$-606.24 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.57 | 286 | $11,889.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $39.85 | 286 | $11,397.10 | $11,406.10 |
$-491.92 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 2:35pm ET | $38.94 | 292 | $11,370.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $37.34 | 292 | $10,903.28 | $10,938.90 |
$-467.20 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 11:40am ET | $36.06 | 303 | $10,926.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:40am ET | $34.59 | 303 | $10,480.77 | $10,493.49 |
$-445.41 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 3:30pm ET | $35.06 | 299 | $10,482.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 3:50pm ET | $33.65 | 299 | $10,059.86 | $10,070.41 |
$-423.09 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $33.62 | 299 | $10,052.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $33.23 | 299 | $9,935.77 | $9,953.80 |
$-116.61 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $33.42 | 297 | $9,925.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $36.78 | 297 | $10,923.66 | $10,951.72 |
+$997.92 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:45pm ET | $34.75 | 315 | $10,946.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $37.62 | 315 | $11,850.30 | $11,855.14 |
+$903.42 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 11:35am ET | $35.73 | 331 | $11,826.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET | $39.34 | 331 | $13,021.54 | $13,050.05 |
+$1,194.91 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 2:55pm ET | $37.82 | 345 | $13,047.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.36 | 345 | $12,197.48 | $12,199.62 |
$-850.43 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.41 | 354 | $12,181.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.67 | 354 | $11,565.18 | $11,583.62 |
$-616.00 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.10 | 360 | $11,554.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $34.67 | 360 | $12,481.20 | $12,510.62 |
+$927.00 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $34.84 | 359 | $12,507.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 11:30am ET | $33.41 | 359 | $11,994.19 | $11,997.67 |
$-512.96 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 3:45pm ET | $35.04 | 342 | $11,983.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.16 | 342 | $11,340.75 | $11,354.74 |
$-642.93 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 3:05pm ET | $32.75 | 346 | $11,331.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 2:10pm ET | $35.41 | 346 | $12,251.86 | $12,275.10 |
+$920.36 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $34.78 | 352 | $12,242.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $37.67 | 352 | $13,259.84 | $13,292.38 |
+$1,017.28 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 3:45pm ET | $36.78 | 361 | $13,277.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.35 | 361 | $12,400.35 | $12,415.15 |
$-877.23 (-6.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET | $37.50 | 331 | $12,412.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.98 | 331 | $11,909.61 | $11,912.26 |
$-502.89 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $35.24 | 338 | $11,911.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:30pm ET | $33.82 | 338 | $11,431.13 | $11,432.27 |
$-479.99 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 3:35pm ET | $32.74 | 349 | $11,426.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 11:00am ET | $31.41 | 349 | $10,962.09 | $10,968.10 |
$-464.17 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $31.35 | 349 | $10,941.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:00pm ET | $30.03 | 349 | $10,480.47 | $10,507.42 |
$-460.68 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $29.49 | 356 | $10,498.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:55am ET | $28.25 | 356 | $10,057.00 | $10,065.98 |
$-441.44 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $26.99 | 372 | $10,040.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.91 | 372 | $9,638.52 | $9,664.22 |
$-401.76 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $26.13 | 369 | $9,641.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $28.26 | 369 | $10,427.94 | $10,450.45 |
+$786.23 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $26.13 | 400 | $10,450.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $28.41 | 400 | $11,364.00 | $11,364.45 |
+$914.00 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $27.45 | 414 | $11,364.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $26.31 | 414 | $10,890.27 | $10,890.42 |
$-474.03 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $27.45 | 396 | $10,870.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $29.73 | 396 | $11,773.08 | $11,793.30 |
+$902.88 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $27.39 | 430 | $11,777.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $26.71 | 430 | $11,485.30 | $11,500.90 |
$-292.40 (-2.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.34 | 420 | $11,482.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.60 | 420 | $12,852.00 | $12,870.10 |
+$1,369.20 (+11.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $29.57 | 435 | $12,860.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $28.38 | 435 | $12,345.26 | $12,354.58 |
$-515.52 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,354.58
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,354.58
Total Return:
+23.55%