Compendium › Victor Volume › XLE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLE
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 17 trades in period

+47.03%
Last Year Return
$14,493.66
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$9,857.47
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 37.7/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 32.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,080
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,857.47
Current Value
$14,493.66
Period P&L
$4,636.19
Max Drawdown
-16.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+9.42%
Worst Trade
-4.22%
Avg Trade Return
+2.34%
Avg Hold Time
17d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$367,666.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,636.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,636.19
Gross Return
+47.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+47.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,857.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 12:00pm ET $41.00 243 $9,961.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $40.74 243 $9,898.61 $9,906.07 $-63.18
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 2:25pm ET $41.35 239 $9,883.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 2:25pm ET $44.56 239 $10,648.65 $10,671.47 +$765.40
(+7.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 3:15pm ET $44.10 241 $10,628.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 2:35pm ET $42.30 241 $10,193.70 $10,237.07 $-434.40
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET $42.53 240 $10,206.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET $42.95 240 $10,308.00 $10,338.88 +$101.81
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 9:45am ET $43.48 237 $10,304.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 9:45am ET $42.59 237 $10,093.83 $10,127.95 $-210.93
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 2:35pm ET $42.16 240 $10,119.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $45.12 240 $10,827.60 $10,836.55 +$708.60
(+7.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET $45.12 240 $10,828.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 10:00am ET $43.22 240 $10,371.60 $10,379.35 $-457.20
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 10:00am ET $44.36 233 $10,335.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 10:00am ET $44.62 233 $10,397.04 $10,440.51 +$61.16
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 3:35pm ET $44.81 233 $10,440.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $43.00 233 $10,019.58 $10,019.94 $-420.57
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:25pm ET $43.12 232 $10,004.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 2:25pm ET $44.12 232 $10,236.42 $10,251.50 +$231.56
(+2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 3:35pm ET $43.65 234 $10,214.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:35pm ET $44.41 234 $10,391.36 $10,428.76 +$177.26
(+1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:35pm ET $45.31 230 $10,420.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $44.30 230 $10,187.85 $10,196.46 $-232.30
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:25pm ET $44.32 230 $10,192.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $46.22 230 $10,629.45 $10,633.46 +$437.00
(+4.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.99 226 $10,619.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $51.42 226 $11,619.79 $11,633.51 +$1,000.05
(+9.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.11 232 $11,624.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $53.52 232 $12,416.64 $12,425.79 +$792.28
(+6.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
11d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $54.44 228 $12,411.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:10am ET $58.79 228 $13,405.26 $13,419.87 +$994.08
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $54.38 246 $13,376.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $58.74 246 $14,450.04 $14,493.66 +$1,073.79
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,493.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,493.66
Total Return: +44.94%
Back to Victor Volume