Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:30:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-24.4%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,814
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-121.63
Current Value
$1,126.17
Period P&L
$-731.08
Max Drawdown
-89.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
5 / 19
Best Trade
+8.66%
Worst Trade
-5.14%
Avg Trade Return
-1.68%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$69,357.72
Estimated Fees
$173.39
Gross P&L
$-731.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-904.48
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $-121.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 4:10pm ET $2,171.84 1 $1,747.57
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $2,060.20 1 $1,657.74 $1,657.74 $-98.34
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $2,159.34 1 $1,696.80
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 7:50am ET $2,071.29 1 $1,627.61 $1,588.55 $-77.50
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $2,079.29 1 $1,588.55
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 6:55am ET $1,991.07 1 $1,521.15 $1,521.15 $-75.17
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:35am ET $1,978.19 1 $1,521.15
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:15am ET $2,137.89 1 $1,643.95 $1,643.95 +$114.89
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 8:40pm ET $2,152.20 1 $1,643.95
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:45pm ET $2,065.65 1 $1,577.84 $1,577.84 $-74.17
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $2,020.92 1 $1,577.84
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 6:40pm ET $2,183.57 1 $1,704.83 $1,704.83 +$118.78
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35pm ET $2,197.76 1 $1,704.83
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 7:30pm ET $2,388.00 1 $1,852.40 $1,852.40 +$138.68
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:30am ET $2,406.84 1 $1,852.40
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $2,306.00 1 $1,774.79 $1,774.79 $-86.68
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $2,367.96 1 $1,774.79
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 6:05pm ET $2,258.87 1 $1,693.03 $1,693.03 $-90.43
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET $2,324.11 1 $1,693.03
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $2,223.40 1 $1,619.67 $1,619.67 $-81.65
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:20pm ET $2,285.35 1 $1,619.67
🔴 SELL May 16, 2026 3:15am ET $2,190.71 1 $1,552.60 $1,552.60 $-75.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.2d held
12 🟢 BUY May 16, 2026 8:00pm ET $2,181.48 1 $1,552.60
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $2,091.86 1 $1,488.82 $1,488.82 $-71.39
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
13 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $2,108.00 1 $1,488.82
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 3:50am ET $2,015.70 1 $1,423.63 $1,423.63 $-72.47
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5d held
14 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 9:00am ET $2,032.96 1 $1,423.63
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,941.80 1 $1,359.79 $1,359.79 $-70.80
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $1,913.91 1 $1,359.79
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:30pm ET $1,835.61 1 $1,304.16 $1,304.16 $-62.29
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:00am ET $1,860.98 1 $1,304.16
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 4:45pm ET $1,786.33 1 $1,251.85 $1,251.85 $-58.70
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 4:55pm ET $1,779.27 1 $1,251.85
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:40am ET $1,698.13 1 $1,194.76 $1,194.76 $-63.20
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:30am ET $1,645.12 1 $1,194.76
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $1,577.14 1 $1,145.39 $1,145.39 $-55.22
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,587.38 1 $1,145.39
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:35am ET $1,520.94 1 $1,097.45 $1,097.45 $-53.55
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,554.68 1 $1,097.45
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $1,688.36 1 $1,191.81 $1,191.81 +$88.64
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 11:10pm ET $1,691.40 1 $1,191.81
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,622.99 1 $1,143.61 $1,143.61 $-54.04
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 8:05am ET $1,622.38 1 $1,143.61
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 7:25am ET $1,754.54 1 $1,236.77 $1,236.77 +$87.21
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $1,831.69 1 $1,236.77
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 8:25am ET $1,745.17 1 $1,178.35 $1,178.35 $-64.46
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 8:35am ET $1,749.08 1 $1,178.35
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,671.62 1 $1,126.17 $1,126.17 $-57.95
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,126.17
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,873.83
Total Return: -88.74%
Back to Victor Volume