Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:51

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.1/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 30.4/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,783
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,348.05
Current Value
$13,577.16
Period P&L
$-1,770.91
Max Drawdown
-24.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.61

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+3.29%
Worst Trade
-4.36%
Avg Trade Return
-1.85%
Avg Hold Time
12.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$143,623.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,770.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,770.91
Gross Return
-11.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,348.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $144.97 103 $14,931.91
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $149.74 103 $15,423.22 $15,424.29 +$491.31
(+3.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $154.20 100 $15,420.00
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $147.48 100 $14,747.50 $14,751.79 $-672.50
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $148.00 99 $14,652.00
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $141.71 99 $14,029.29 $14,129.08 $-622.71
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:40am ET $141.37 99 $13,995.63
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $135.71 99 $13,435.29 $13,568.74 $-560.34
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $136.26 99 $13,490.23
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $136.35 99 $13,498.65 $13,577.16 +$8.42
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,577.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,577.16
Total Return: +35.77%
Back to Victor Volume